NORNOR

19:45Wed 14 Oct

SOU

SOU

Norwich vs Southampton

CLASS E

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THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

TOTAL GOALS

Class E

NORv

SOU

Over 1.5 Goals

Norwich v Southampton

England - Championship · 19:45

1.16odds

86%book

+3edge

3/3angles

THE READ

Match details. Championship, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Wed 14 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at Carrow Road, Norwich.

What's at stake. Norwich are 18th on 9 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Bolton, 1 point clear of Portsmouth. A win would take them above Bolton. Southampton are 11th on 13 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Bristol City, level on points with Charlton. A win would take them above Bristol City.

Team news. Norwich are without A. Ahmed (knee injury), P. A. Diallo (injury), L. Mahovo (ankle injury), K. McLean (injury), M. Topic (knee injury), M. Toure (shoulder injury). Southampton are without C. Bragg (red card), C. Bragg (red card).

Form. Norwich have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W. Southampton have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W D.

The numbers. Norwich score 1.8 and concede 2.3 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Norwich average 10.8 shots (4.2 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Southampton score 2.1 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. Southampton average 12.0 shots (4.8 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 57% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Norwich have won two, drawn two and lost six. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Norwich won one, one was drawn and Southampton won two. The last time they met, on 18 Mar 2026, it finished Norwich 0-1 Southampton: Norwich had 14 shots to 9, 57% of the ball, eight yellow cards.

The read. No side to back. A draw is live. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.16, 78% on the records (Norwich: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8; Southampton: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 9). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.16. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Southampton or Over 2.5 Goals (no side to back); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Norwich 1-2 Southampton (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES

1.16

NOR 7 of 8 (88%) · SOU 8 of 9 (89%)89%

Norwich: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Southampton: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · H2H 5 of 6 · Norwich: only games against sides at Southampton's level · Southampton: only games against sides at Norwich's level

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.52

NOR 7 of 8 (88%) · SOU 6 of 9 (67%)66.9%

Norwich: over 2.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Southampton: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · H2H 3 of 6 · Norwich: only games against sides at Southampton's level · Southampton: only games against sides at Norwich's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.47

NOR 6 of 8 (75%) · SOU 8 of 9 (89%)60.1%

Norwich: both scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Southampton: both scored in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · H2H 3 of 6 · Norwich: only games against sides at Southampton's level · Southampton: only games against sides at Norwich's level

NORWICH GOALS

Norwich Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.19

NOR 6 of 8 (75%) · SOU 8 of 9 (89%)74%

Norwich scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Southampton conceded in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · H2H 3 of 6 · Norwich: only games against sides at Southampton's level · Southampton: only games against sides at Norwich's level

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.27

NOR 8 of 8 (100%) · SOU 9 of 9 (100%)91.7%

Norwich: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Southampton: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Norwich: only games against sides at Southampton's level · Southampton: only games against sides at Norwich's level

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5BACKUPPAGE ONLY

1.16

NOR 7 of 8 (88%) · SOU 8 of 9 (89%)87%

Norwich: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Southampton: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Norwich: only games against sides at Southampton's level · Southampton: only games against sides at Norwich's level

Left off the list: Southampton or Over 2.5 Goals (no side to back); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Southampton or Over 1.5 Goals (no side to back)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 8.9%

Norwich goals →

Southampton goals ↓

0-07%

1-07%

2-05%

3-02%

4-00.7%

5-00.2%

0-18%

1-112%

2-18%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-27%

1-29%

2-26%

3-23%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-35%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-41%

1-42%

2-41%

3-40.5%

4-40.2%

5-40.0%

0-50.4%

1-50.5%

2-50.3%

3-50.2%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

NORWICHLLLLWWLWWL1.20 PPG

SOUTHAMPTONWLWWDDWLWL1.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

NORWICH HOMExSOUTHAMPTON AWAY

1.89SCORED A GAME2.222.11CONCEDED A GAME1.110%CLEAN SHEETS10%22%FAILED TO SCORE0%4.44CORNERS A GAME5.222.30CARDS A GAME2.201.49xG1.791.60xG AGAINST1.36

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.00POINTS A GAME1.89-0.22GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.11+0.1SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.01.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.09LEAGUE GAMES9

Southampton: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

SOUTHAMPTON 0:2 HANDICAP

–

373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

91%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

83%

VERY GOOD · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

59%

NO · 85/90

NORWICH OR DRAW

78%

NO · 80/85

SOUTHAMPTON OR DRAW

50%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

NORWICHxSOUTHAMPTON

5GAMES52.40SCORED A GAME2.002.40CONCEDED A GAME1.004.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.0100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%100%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%100%BOTH SCORE80%3.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.68.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

NORWICH 2 · 20%DRAW 2SOUTHAMPTON 6 · 60%

5 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

8 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

6 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2017-01-18Norwich 0 – 1 Southampton

2019-12-04Norwich 1 – 2 Southampton

2020-06-19Norwich 0 – 3 Southampton

2021-11-20Norwich 2 – 1 Southampton

2022-02-25Norwich 0 – 2 Southampton

2023-08-12Norwich 4 – 4 Southampton

2024-01-01Norwich 1 – 1 Southampton

2025-08-26Norwich 0 – 3 Southampton

TEAM NEWS

NORWICH

Out: A. Ahmed (Knee Injury), P. A. Diallo (Injury), L. Mahovo (Ankle Injury), K. McLean (Injury), M. Topic (Knee Injury), M. Toure (Shoulder Injury)

SOUTHAMPTON

Out: C. Bragg (Red Card), C. Bragg (Red Card)

TRENDS

Norwich have scored in 70% of their games.

Southampton have scored in 100% of their games.

Norwich kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.

Southampton kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards