Match details. Botola Pro D1, Regular Season - 4. Kick-off is Mon 12 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stade Adrar, Agadir.
Form. Hassania Union Sport Agadir have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D L. AS Far Rabat have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L D.
The numbers. Hassania Union Sport Agadir score one and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Hassania Union Sport Agadir average 7.6 shots (3.8 on target), 6.0 corners and 2.1 cards a game. AS Far Rabat score 1.4 and concede one a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. AS Far Rabat average 11.1 shots (4.7 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
The case against. Hassania Union Sport Agadir's record still gives them 28% to win.
The read. AS Far Rabat to win. A tight game. AS Far Rabat are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 30%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Hassania Union Sport Agadir Over 0.5 goals (AS Far Rabat's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (AS Far Rabat are a clear winner, no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Hassania Union Sport Agadir 0-1 AS Far Rabat (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).