Breidablik vs Vikingur Reykjavik
Match details. Besta deild, Championship Group - 4. Kick-off is Fri 16 Oct, 20:15 Lagos time. It is played at Kópavogsvöllur, Kópavogur.
What's at stake. Breidablik are 4th on 30 points after 22 games, 14 points behind KR Reykjavik, level on points with IA Akranes. Vikingur Reykjavik are 1st on 53 points after 22 games, 8 points clear of Fram Reykjavik.
Form. Breidablik have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L L. In this competition Breidablik have gone W L W L L L. Vikingur Reykjavik have won five, drawn five and lost none of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D D. In this competition Vikingur Reykjavik have gone D W W D D W.
The numbers. Breidablik score 1.6 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Breidablik average 4.0 corners and 1.4 cards a game. Vikingur Reykjavik score 2.6 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. Vikingur Reykjavik average 2.6 corners and 0.8 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Breidablik have won four, drawn three and lost three. Eight of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in eight. In the last four, Breidablik won one, one was drawn and Vikingur Reykjavik won two. The last time they met, on 28 Jun 2026, it finished Breidablik 3-0 Vikingur Reykjavik.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 75%; eight of the last ten meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Breidablik's record still gives them 22% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. Vikingur Reykjavik to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Vikingur Reykjavik the likelier winners; Vikingur Reykjavik are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Vikingur Reykjavik. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 75%. Eight of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Vikingur Reykjavik 1UP at 1.28, 83% on the records (Vikingur Reykjavik scored first 4 of last 5, led in 5; led in 9 of 10). Leave: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Over/Under & GG/NG: Over 2.5 & Yes (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Breidablik 1-2 Vikingur Reykjavik (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).