Keflavik IF vs KR Reykjavik
Match details. Besta deild, Championship Group - 4. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time. It is played at HS Orku völlurinn, Keflavík, Reykjanesbær.
What's at stake. Keflavik IF are 6th on 28 points after 22 games, 2 points behind IA Akranes, level on points with Stjarnan. A win would take them above IA Akranes. KR Reykjavik are 3rd on 44 points after 22 games, 1 point behind Fram Reykjavik, 14 points clear of Breidablik. A win would take them above Fram Reykjavik.
Form. Keflavik IF have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L L. In this competition Keflavik IF have gone L D L L L W. KR Reykjavik have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L D. In this competition KR Reykjavik have gone W L W L D W.
The numbers. Keflavik IF score 1.3 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Keflavik IF average 1.9 corners and 0.6 cards a game. KR Reykjavik score 2.8 and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. KR Reykjavik average 4.1 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Keflavik IF have won one, drawn two and lost seven. Two of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Keflavik IF won one and KR Reykjavik won three. The last time they met, on 28 Jun 2026, it finished Keflavik IF 3-2 KR Reykjavik.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%; eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Keflavik IF's record still gives them 23% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The read. KR Reykjavik to win. An open game. KR Reykjavik are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour KR Reykjavik; the meetings favour KR Reykjavik. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or KR Reykjavik at 1.21, 66% on the records (KR Reykjavik unbeaten in 4 of 5 away; Keflavik IF failed to win 7 of 10). Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (KR Reykjavik are a clear winner, no Unders); 2nd Half - KR Reykjavik Over/Under: Over 0.5 (the signs point different ways); Keflavik IF Under 1.5 goals (KR Reykjavik's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Keflavik IF 1-2 KR Reykjavik (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).