EDGE PICKAlebrijes de Oaxaca FC Over 0.5 goals · 61.9% · @1.52
Book 66% · Us 62%-4price too short
Backed by
Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC scored in 3 of 5 away · Leones Negros UDEG conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85% · Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC's level
· main loses on: 0-1, 0-2, 1-2, 0-3, 1-3, 0-4, 2-3, 1-4, 0-5, 2-4, 1-5, 0-6 and 43 more up to 10-10 | hedge wins on all of them
THE READ
Match details. Liga de Expansion MX, Apertura - 13. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara. The referee is L. A. Garcia Olvera.
Form. Leones Negros UDEG have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L D. Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L W.
The numbers. Leones Negros UDEG score 2.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Leones Negros UDEG average 3.4 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC score 0.8 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC average 3.4 corners and 3.1 cards a game.
The case against. Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC's record still gives them 23% to win.
The read. Leones Negros UDEG to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Leones Negros UDEG the likelier winners; Leones Negros UDEG are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Leones Negros UDEG. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 75%.
The bets. Best bet: Leones Negros UDEG or Draw at 1.11, 80% on the records (Leones Negros UDEG unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC failed to win 4 of 5 away). Backup: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC Under 1.5 goals (Leones Negros UDEG's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Leones Negros UDEG or draw and both teams score (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Leones Negros UDEG 2-1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Leones Negros UDEG or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LEO 5 of 5 (100%) · ALE 5 of 5 (100%)96.7%
Leones Negros UDEG: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC's level · Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level
Leones Negros UDEG or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
LEO 5 of 5 (100%) · ALE 5 of 5 (100%)93.3%
Leones Negros UDEG scored first 5 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home · Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 away · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC's level · Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level
Double Chance: Leones Negros UDEG or DrawMAININ CODES
1.11
LEO 4 of 5 (80%) · ALE 4 of 5 (80%)80.1%
Leones Negros UDEG unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC failed to win 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC's level · Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level
Leones Negros UDEG or Draw & Over 1.5IN CODES
1.23
LEO 4 of 5 (80%) · ALE 4 of 5 (80%)76.7%
Leones Negros UDEG: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC's level · Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level
Leones Negros UDEG or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.15
LEO 4 of 5 (80%) · ALE 4 of 5 (80%)75%
Leones Negros UDEG: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC's level · Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level
Leones Negros UDEG (Draw No Bet)IN CODES
1.14
LEO 5 of 7 (71%) · ALE 4 of 5 (80%)73.7%
Leones Negros UDEG won 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC lost 4 of 5 away (draws left out) · both last 10: 63% · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC's level · Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level · won 6, refunded 2, lost 2
Leones Negros UDEG to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.39
LEO 2 of 5 (40%) · ALE 4 of 5 (80%)55.6%
Leones Negros UDEG won 2 of 5 at home · Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC lost 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 50% · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC's level · Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LEO 5 of 5 (100%) · ALE 5 of 5 (100%)92.9%
Leones Negros UDEG: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC's level · Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level
Over 1.5 GoalsBACKUPIN CODES
1.15
LEO 5 of 5 (100%) · ALE 5 of 5 (100%)76.2%
Leones Negros UDEG: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC's level · Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.48
LEO 4 of 5 (80%) · ALE 4 of 5 (80%)51.4%
Leones Negros UDEG: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC's level · Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.66
LEO 4 of 5 (80%) · ALE 2 of 5 (40%)51.9%
Leones Negros UDEG: both scored in 4 of 5 at home · Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC: both scored in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC's level · Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level
LEONES NEGROS UDEG GOALS
Leones Negros UDEG Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LEO 5 of 5 (100%) · ALE 4 of 5 (80%)82.9%
Leones Negros UDEG scored in 5 of 5 at home · Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC's level · Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level
Leones Negros UDEG Over 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.39
LEO 3 of 5 (60%) · ALE 4 of 5 (80%)52.6%
Leones Negros UDEG scored over 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home · Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC conceded over 1.5 in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 55% · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC's level · Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level
ALEBRIJES DE OAXACA FC GOALS
Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.52
LEO 3 of 5 (60%) · ALE 4 of 5 (80%)61.9%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC scored in 3 of 5 away · Leones Negros UDEG conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85% · Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC's level
Left off the list: Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC Under 1.5 goals (Leones Negros UDEG's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Leones Negros UDEG or draw and both teams score (the numbers (42%) and the records (52%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Leones Negros UDEG 1UP (the numbers (69%) and the records (93%) are 25 points apart, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.8%
Leones Negros UDEG goals →
Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC goals ↓
0-07%
1-011%
2-010%
3-06%
4-03%
5-00.9%
0-16%
1-112%
2-110%
3-16%
4-13%
5-10.9%
0-23%
1-25%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-31.0%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.2%
1-40.4%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
LEONES NEGROS UDEGDWWLDWDWWL1.80 PPG
ALEBRIJES DE OAXACA FCWLLLWLDLWW1.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
LEONES NEGROS UDEG HOMExALEBRIJES DE OAXACA FC AWAY
2.33SCORED A GAME0.831.42CONCEDED A GAME1.9280%BOTH SCORED50%10%CLEAN SHEETS30%3.42CORNERS A GAME3.422.33CARDS A GAME3.08
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.91POINTS A GAME1.30+0.64GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.00-4.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-3.61.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.211LEAGUE GAMES10
Leones Negros UDEG: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
95%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
61%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
89%
OKAY · 85/90
LEONES NEGROS UDEG OR DRAW
78%
NO · 80/85
ALEBRIJES DE OAXACA FC OR DRAW
46%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
LEONES NEGROS UDEGxALEBRIJES DE OAXACA FC
5GAMES52.20SCORED A GAME0.801.80CONCEDED A GAME2.204.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.0100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%80%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES6.6–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.2
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Leones Negros UDEG have scored in 90% of their games.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC have scored in 80% of their games.
Leones Negros UDEG kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards