CD Cuenca vs CD Tecnico Universitario
Match details. LigaPro Primera A, Relegation Group - 3. Kick-off is Fri 16 Oct, 21:30 Lagos time. It is played at Alejandro Serrano Aguilar, Cuenca.
What's at stake. CD Cuenca are 12th on 38 points after 32 games, 1 point behind Mushuc Runa SC, 4 points clear of Orense SC. A win would take them above Mushuc Runa SC. CD Tecnico Universitario are 14th on 33 points after 32 games, 1 point behind Orense SC, 1 point clear of Delfin SC. A win would take them above Orense SC. CD Cuenca have nothing left to play for. CD Tecnico Universitario have nothing left to play for. It is played over two legs.
Form. CD Cuenca have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D L W. In this competition CD Cuenca have gone D D D L W L. CD Tecnico Universitario have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L L. In this competition CD Tecnico Universitario have gone L D W L L W.
The numbers. CD Cuenca score 0.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. CD Cuenca average 11.8 shots (4.0 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 45% of the ball. CD Tecnico Universitario score 0.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. CD Tecnico Universitario average 12.2 shots (3.2 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.9 cards a game, with 43% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings CD Cuenca have won four, drawn two and lost four. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, CD Cuenca won three and CD Tecnico Universitario won one. The last time they met, on 29 Aug 2026, it finished CD Cuenca 1-3 CD Tecnico Universitario.
The case against. CD Tecnico Universitario's record still gives them 32% to win.
The read. CD Cuenca to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CD Cuenca the likelier winners; CD Cuenca are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Cuenca. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CD Cuenca 1-0 CD Tecnico Universitario (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).