Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal
Match details. MLS, Regular Season - 30. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 03:30 Lagos time. It is played at Lumen Field, Seattle. The referee is Fotis Bazakos.
What's at stake. Seattle Sounders are 7th on 41 points after 29 games, 4 points behind Los Angeles FC, 2 points clear of Los Angeles Galaxy. CF Montreal are 15th on 24 points after 29 games, 6 points behind Atlanta United FC. CF Montreal have nothing left to play for.
Team news. Seattle Sounders are without N. Petkovic (knee injury), P. Rothrock (hamstring injury), P. de La Vega (calf injury), N. Petkovic (knee injury), P. Rothrock (hamstring injury), P. de La Vega (calf injury). CF Montreal are without B. Ceballos (lower-body injury), T. Gillier (upper-body injury), B. Hidalgo (groin injury), P. Owusu (lower-body injury), D. Sealy (lower-body injury), B. Ceballos (lower-body injury). T. Gillier is their first-choice keeper. P. Owusu is their top scorer. P. Owusu is their main creator.
Form. Seattle Sounders have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W W. In this competition Seattle Sounders have gone L W W W W D. CF Montreal have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L. In this competition CF Montreal have gone L L W L L L.
The numbers. Seattle Sounders score 1.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Seattle Sounders average 15.6 shots (6.4 on target), 7.1 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. CF Montreal score 0.8 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. CF Montreal average 11.5 shots (4.1 on target), 5.1 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Seattle Sounders have won three, drawn one and lost six. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Seattle Sounders won one and CF Montreal won three. The last time they met, on 7 Apr 2024, it finished Seattle Sounders 5-0 CF Montreal: Seattle Sounders had 24 shots to 5, 59% of the ball, six yellow cards.
The case against. CF Montreal's record still gives them 21% to win.
The read. Seattle Sounders to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Seattle Sounders the likelier winners; Seattle Sounders are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Seattle Sounders. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The bets. Best bet: Seattle Sounders or Draw at 1.11, 87% on the records (Seattle Sounders unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home; CF Montreal failed to win 4 of 5 away). Backup: Seattle Sounders Over 0.5 Goals at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Seattle Sounders Win & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (Seattle Sounders are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Seattle Sounders are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Seattle Sounders 2-1 CF Montreal (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).