Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake
Match details. MLS, Regular Season - 30. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 01:30 Lagos time. It is played at Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City.
What's at stake. Sporting Kansas City are 15th on 22 points after 29 games, 9 points behind Austin. Real Salt Lake are 11th on 33 points after 29 games, level on points with Portland Timbers, level on points with San Diego. A win would take them above Portland Timbers. Sporting Kansas City have nothing left to play for. Real Salt Lake have nothing left to play for.
Team news. Sporting Kansas City are without O. Blorian (chest injury), Diego Borges (groin injury), L. Johnsen (hamstring injury), M. Mosquera (hamstring injury), O. Wolff (muscle injury), J. Reynolds (muscle injury). Real Salt Lake are without J. J. Arias (hamstring injury), E. Eneli (knee injury), L. Engel (hamstring injury), J. Glad (groin injury), D. Luna (knee injury), L. De Fougerolles (injury).
Form. Sporting Kansas City have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W L. Real Salt Lake have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L L.
The numbers. Sporting Kansas City score two and concede 2.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Sporting Kansas City average 14.5 shots (5.6 on target), 3.9 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 47% of the ball. Real Salt Lake score 0.4 and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Real Salt Lake average 14.0 shots (5.2 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Sporting Kansas City have won two, drawn two and lost five. Six of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, one was drawn and Real Salt Lake won three. The last time they met, on 4 Apr 2026, it finished Sporting Kansas City 1-3 Real Salt Lake: Sporting Kansas City had 5 shots to 22, 51% of the ball, one yellow card.
The case against. Sporting Kansas City's record still gives them 37% to win.
The read. Real Salt Lake to win. An open game. Real Salt Lake are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Real Salt Lake. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%. Six of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.13, 76% on the records (Sporting Kansas City: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Real Salt Lake: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 9). Backup: Real Salt Lake win or both teams score at 1.16. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Sporting Kansas City 1-2 Real Salt Lake (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).