New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC
Match details. MLS, Regular Season - 30. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 00:30 Lagos time. It is played at Yankee Stadium, New York City. The referee is Rosendo Mendoza.
What's at stake. New York City FC are 10th on 33 points after 29 games, 3 points behind FC Cincinnati, level on points with Toronto FC. A win would take them level on points with FC Cincinnati. Los Angeles FC are 6th on 45 points after 30 games, 1 point behind Houston Dynamo, 4 points clear of Seattle Sounders. A win would take them above Houston Dynamo. New York City FC have nothing left to play for.
Team news. New York City FC are without D. Baiera (knee injury), A. Farnos (leg injury), M. Moralez (knee injury), K. Parks (leg injury), K. Trewin (ankle injury), D. Baiera (knee injury). Los Angeles FC are without C. Carter (arm injury), J. Ebobisse (leg injury), T. Tillman (pelvis injury), C. Carter (arm injury), J. Ebobisse (leg injury), T. Tillman (pelvis injury).
Form. New York City FC have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L W. In this competition New York City FC have gone L L D L W L. Los Angeles FC have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D L. In this competition Los Angeles FC have gone W D L D L W.
The numbers. New York City FC score 0.9 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. New York City FC average 10.9 shots (3.8 on target), 4.4 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. Los Angeles FC score 0.8 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Los Angeles FC average 15.8 shots (5.2 on target), 6.6 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 47% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last four meetings New York City FC have won one, drawn two and lost one. Three of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. The last time they met, on 2 Mar 2025, it finished New York City FC 0-1 Los Angeles FC: New York City FC had 11 shots to 8, 53% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%; three of the last four meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. New York City FC's record still gives them 26% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: three of the last four meetings went over 2.5.
The read. Los Angeles FC or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. Los Angeles FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.45, 75% on the records (New York City FC: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10; Los Angeles FC: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 6 away). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.17. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Los Angeles FC Over 0.5 goals (Los Angeles FC's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); New York City FC Under 1.5 goals (Los Angeles FC's own games don't back it (3 of 6)). Predicted score: New York City FC 1-1 Los Angeles FC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).