Minnesota United FC vs Saint Louis City SC
Match details. MLS, Regular Season - 30. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 21:30 Lagos time. It is played at Allianz Field, Sao Paulo. The referee is Ramy Touchan.
What's at stake. Minnesota United FC are 13th on 31 points after 29 games, 2 points behind San Diego, level on points with Austin. A win would take them above San Diego. Saint Louis City SC are 2nd on 51 points after 29 games, 1 point behind Vancouver Whitecaps, 1 point clear of FC Dallas. A win would take them above Vancouver Whitecaps. Minnesota United FC have nothing left to play for, while Saint Louis City SC need the win.
Team news. Minnesota United FC are without A. Markanich (concussion), A. Smir (knee injury), P. Stroud (muscle injury), A. Markanich (concussion), A. Smir (knee injury), P. Stroud (muscle injury). A. Markanich is their centre-back. Saint Louis City SC are without Celio Pompeu (knee injury), C. Wallem (injury), Celio Pompeu (knee injury), C. Wallem (injury). C. Wallem is their main creator.
Form. Minnesota United FC have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L L. In this competition Minnesota United FC have gone D D L L L L. Saint Louis City SC have won six, drawn four and lost none of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W W. In this competition Saint Louis City SC have gone D W W W W D.
The numbers. Minnesota United FC score 1.8 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Minnesota United FC average 14.0 shots (4.6 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 46% of the ball. Saint Louis City SC score 2.7 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Saint Louis City SC average 12.0 shots (6.1 on target), 4.4 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 56% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Minnesota United FC have won six, drawn none and lost two. Seven of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Minnesota United FC won three and Saint Louis City SC won one. The last time they met, on 13 Sep 2026, it finished Minnesota United FC 2-4 Saint Louis City SC: Minnesota United FC had 11 shots to 14, 35% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Saint Louis City SC are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour Saint Louis City SC; the meetings favour Minnesota United FC.
The case against. Minnesota United FC's record still gives them 22% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. Saint Louis City SC or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Saint Louis City SC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Saint Louis City SC; the meetings favour Minnesota United FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 92%. Seven of the last eight meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.16, 80% on the records (Minnesota United FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Saint Louis City SC: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.16. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Saint Louis City SC or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); 2nd Half - Saint Louis City SC Over/Under: Over 0.5 (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Minnesota United FC 1-2 Saint Louis City SC (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).