Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte FC
Match details. MLS, Regular Season - 30. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 19:30 Lagos time. It is played at Talen Energy Stadium, Philadelphia.
What's at stake. Philadelphia Union are 6th on 45 points after 29 games, 1 point behind Charlotte, 7 points clear of Orlando City SC. A win would take them above Charlotte. Charlotte FC are 5th on 46 points after 29 games, 2 points behind Chicago Fire, 1 point clear of Philadelphia Union. A win would take them above Chicago Fire.
Team news. Philadelphia Union are without A. Anello (groin injury), A. Anello (groin injury). Charlotte FC are without N. Berchimas (foot injury), A. Doucoure (inactive), A. Goodwin (foot injury), A. John (shoulder injury), N. Berchimas (foot injury), A. Doucoure (inactive).
Form. Philadelphia Union have won eight, drawn two and lost none of their last ten, 2.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. Charlotte FC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W D.
The numbers. Philadelphia Union score three and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Philadelphia Union average 17.8 shots (7.0 on target), 5.8 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. Charlotte FC score 2.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. Charlotte FC average 11.5 shots (4.4 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 44% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Philadelphia Union have won four, drawn two and lost four. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Philadelphia Union won two and Charlotte FC won two. The last time they met, on 4 Apr 2026, it finished Philadelphia Union 1-2 Charlotte FC: Philadelphia Union had 17 shots to 9, 42% of the ball, eight yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%; six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Charlotte FC's record still gives them 31% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The read. Philadelphia Union to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Philadelphia Union the likelier winners; Philadelphia Union are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Philadelphia Union. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.11, 79% on the records (Philadelphia Union: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Charlotte FC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Philadelphia Union are a clear winner, no Unders); Philadelphia Union Over 1.5 goals (Charlotte FC's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 5.5 Goals (Philadelphia Union are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Philadelphia Union 2-1 Charlotte FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).