Match details. NB I, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 13:30 Lagos time. It is played at Városi Stadion, Nyiregyhaza.
What's at stake. Nyiregyhaza Spartacus FC are 11th on 8 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Zalaegerszegi TE, 1 point clear of Budapest Honved. A win would take them above Zalaegerszegi TE. Budapest Honved FC are 12th on 7 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Nyiregyhaza. A win would take them above Nyiregyhaza.
Form. Nyiregyhaza Spartacus FC have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L D. Budapest Honved FC have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L W.
The numbers. Nyiregyhaza Spartacus FC score 1.8 and concede two a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Nyiregyhaza Spartacus FC average 13.7 shots (5.3 on target), 5.3 corners and 3.3 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. Budapest Honved FC score 2.3 and concede 2.2 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. Budapest Honved FC average 10.9 shots (4.1 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last five meetings Nyiregyhaza Spartacus FC have won two, drawn two and lost one. One of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Nyiregyhaza Spartacus FC won one, two were drawn and Budapest Honved FC won one. The last time they met, on 11 Feb 2024, it finished Nyiregyhaza Spartacus FC 1-1 Budapest Honved FC.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%; four of the last five meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Four of the last five meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Nyiregyhaza Spartacus FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Budapest Honved FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Nyiregyhaza Spartacus FC 1-1 Budapest Honved FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).