Match details. 1st Division, Regular Season - 26. Kick-off is Wed 14 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time. The referee is M. Hafezi.
What's at stake. Moss FK are 11th on 28 points after 25 games, level on points with Lyn, 1 point clear of Strommen. A win would take them above Lyn. Egersunds IK are 8th on 32 points after 25 games, 2 points behind hodd, 1 point clear of Ranheim. A win would take them above hodd.
Form. Moss FK have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W L. Egersunds IK have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W D.
The numbers. Moss FK score 1.6 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. Moss FK average 6.2 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Egersunds IK score 1.5 and concede 2.8 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Egersunds IK average 5.3 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Moss FK have won three, drawn one and lost five. Six of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Egersunds IK won four. The last time they met, on 4 Jul 2026, it finished Moss FK 0-3 Egersunds IK.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Moss FK the likelier winners, but Moss FK are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Egersunds IK.
The case against. Egersunds IK's record still gives them 44% to win. The meetings do not back them. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 82%. Not everything agrees on goals: six of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The read. Moss FK or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Moss FK the likelier winners; Moss FK are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Egersunds IK.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Moss FK or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Moss FK 1-1 Egersunds IK (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).