Match details. Liga 2, Promotion Group - 3. Kick-off is Tue 13 Oct, 02:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Mansiche, Trujillo.
What's at stake. Carlos Mannucci are 2nd on 30 points after 16 games, 2 points behind Union Comercio, 2 points clear of Deportivo Llacuabamba. A win would take them above Union Comercio. CSDC Alianza Universidad are 5th on 21 points after 16 games, 4 points behind Sport Huancayo 2, level on points with Santos. Carlos Mannucci have nothing left to play for. CSDC Alianza Universidad have nothing left to play for.
Form. Carlos Mannucci have won five, drawn two and lost two of their last nine, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W D. In this competition Carlos Mannucci have gone D W W W D L. CSDC Alianza Universidad have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D D L. In this competition CSDC Alianza Universidad have gone L D D D L W.
The numbers. Carlos Mannucci score 2.4 and concede 0.2 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. Carlos Mannucci average 5.4 corners and 2.1 cards a game. CSDC Alianza Universidad score 0.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. CSDC Alianza Universidad average 10.5 shots (3.8 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Carlos Mannucci have won two, drawn three and lost one. One of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, Carlos Mannucci won one, two were drawn and CSDC Alianza Universidad won one. The last time they met, on 18 Sep 2021, it finished Carlos Mannucci 1-1 CSDC Alianza Universidad: Carlos Mannucci had 7 shots to 11, 38% of the ball, seven yellow cards.
The read. Carlos Mannucci to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Carlos Mannucci the likelier winners; Carlos Mannucci are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Carlos Mannucci. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 33%. Five of the last six meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Carlos Mannucci or Draw at 1.21, 78% on the records (Carlos Mannucci unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; CSDC Alianza Universidad failed to win 5 of 5 away). Backup: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.29. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Carlos Mannucci or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Carlos Mannucci or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Carlos Mannucci 1-0 CSDC Alianza Universidad (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).