Match details. Segunda Division. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 20:30 Lagos time.
Form. Real Frontera FC have won none, drawn two and lost eight of their last ten, 0.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L D. Academia Puerto Cabello B have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L L.
The numbers. Real Frontera FC score 0.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Real Frontera FC average 3.4 corners and 3.5 cards a game. Academia Puerto Cabello B score 0.6 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Academia Puerto Cabello B average 3.8 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.
The case against. Real Frontera FC's record still gives them 35% to win.
The read. Academia Puerto Cabello B to win. Academia Puerto Cabello B are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Academia Puerto Cabello B.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Academia Puerto Cabello B or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Academia Puerto Cabello B Over 0.5 Goals (Academia Puerto Cabello B's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Real Frontera FC Under 1.5 goals (Academia Puerto Cabello B's own games don't back it (1 of 5)). Predicted score: Real Frontera FC 0-1 Academia Puerto Cabello B (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Academia Puerto Cabello B or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
REA 5 of 5 (100%) · ACA 8 of 8 (100%)98.3%
Academia Puerto Cabello B: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · Real Frontera FC: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Academia Puerto Cabello B: only games against sides at Real Frontera FC's level · Real Frontera FC: only games against sides at Academia Puerto Cabello B's level
Academia Puerto Cabello B or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
REA 1 of 5 (20%) · ACA 8 of 8 (100%)65%
Academia Puerto Cabello B: the bet landed in 1 of 5 away · Real Frontera FC: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Academia Puerto Cabello B: only games against sides at Real Frontera FC's level · Real Frontera FC: only games against sides at Academia Puerto Cabello B's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
REA 8 of 8 (100%) · ACA 5 of 5 (100%)98.3%
Real Frontera FC: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Academia Puerto Cabello B: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · Real Frontera FC: only games against sides at Academia Puerto Cabello B's level · Academia Puerto Cabello B: only games against sides at Real Frontera FC's level
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
REA 7 of 8 (88%) · ACA 5 of 5 (100%)93.8%
Real Frontera FC: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Academia Puerto Cabello B: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 94% · Real Frontera FC: only games against sides at Academia Puerto Cabello B's level · Academia Puerto Cabello B: only games against sides at Real Frontera FC's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
REA 7 of 8 (88%) · ACA 4 of 5 (80%)83.8%
Real Frontera FC: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Academia Puerto Cabello B: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 84% · Real Frontera FC: only games against sides at Academia Puerto Cabello B's level · Academia Puerto Cabello B: only games against sides at Real Frontera FC's level
Left off the list: Academia Puerto Cabello B or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (61%) and the records (82%) are 21 points apart, and nothing settles it); Academia Puerto Cabello B Over 0.5 Goals (Academia Puerto Cabello B's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Real Frontera FC Under 1.5 goals (Academia Puerto Cabello B's own games don't back it (1 of 5)); Academia Puerto Cabello B (Draw No Bet) (the numbers (45%) and the records (64%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–18.7%
Real Frontera FC goals →
Academia Puerto… goals ↓
0-09%
1-010%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-19%
1-113%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-26%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.7%
1-40.9%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
REAL FRONTERA FCDLLLDLLLLL0.20 PPG
ACADEMIA PUERTO CABELLO BWLDLLDLWLD0.90 PPG
THE NUMBERS
REAL FRONTERA FC HOMExACADEMIA PUERTO CABELLO B AWAY
0.76SCORED A GAME1.272.28CONCEDED A GAME1.4740%BOTH SCORED50%0%CLEAN SHEETS20%3.42CORNERS A GAME3.823.50CARDS A GAME2.68
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.08POINTS A GAME1.00-2.25GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.50-10.6SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.70.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.812LEAGUE GAMES12
Academia Puerto Cabello B: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.
ACADEMIA PUERTO CABELLO B 0:2 HANDICAP
–
373 OF 433
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
88%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
65%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
85%
OKAY · 85/90
REAL FRONTERA FC OR DRAW
66%
NO · 80/85
ACADEMIA PUERTO CABELLO B OR DRAW
63%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (12 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
REAL FRONTERA FCxACADEMIA PUERTO CABELLO B
6GAMES60.50SCORED A GAME0.332.67CONCEDED A GAME2.173.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.5100%OVER 1.5 GOALS67%50%OVER 2.5 GOALS67%50%BOTH SCORE17%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Real Frontera FC have scored in 40% of their games.
Academia Puerto Cabello B have scored in 60% of their games.
Real Frontera FC kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
Academia Puerto Cabello B kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards