Match details. Segunda Division, Regular Season - 34. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 20:30 Lagos time.
Form. Atletico El Vigia have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D W. Urena SC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L W.
The numbers. Atletico El Vigia score 1.9 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Atletico El Vigia average 4.5 corners and 2.6 cards a game. Urena SC score 0.9 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and six games without a goal. Urena SC average 4.5 corners and 3.1 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 37% against the records' 69%.
The read. No firm call: Atletico El Vigia are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Atletico El Vigia the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Atletico El Vigia. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.19, 76% on the records (Atletico El Vigia: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8; Urena SC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 8). Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Atletico El Vigia 2-1 Urena SC (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 8 of 8 (100%) · URE 7 of 8 (88%)92.6%
Atletico El Vigia: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Urena SC: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Atletico El Vigia: only games against sides at Urena SC's level · Urena SC: only games against sides at Atletico El Vigia's level
Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.19
ATL 6 of 8 (75%) · URE 4 of 8 (50%)75.5%
Atletico El Vigia: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Urena SC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · Atletico El Vigia: only games against sides at Urena SC's level · Urena SC: only games against sides at Atletico El Vigia's level
ATLETICO EL VIGIA GOALS
Atletico El Vigia Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 7 of 8 (88%) · URE 6 of 8 (75%)80.7%
Atletico El Vigia scored in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Urena SC conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Atletico El Vigia: only games against sides at Urena SC's level · Urena SC: only games against sides at Atletico El Vigia's level
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.6%
Atletico El Vigia goals →
Urena SC goals ↓
0-08%
1-011%
2-09%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.7%
0-16%
1-112%
2-110%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.7%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31.0%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.3%
1-40.5%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
ATLETICO EL VIGIADWWDWLWLWW2.00 PPG
URENA SCDDLLWWDLLL0.90 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ATLETICO EL VIGIA HOMExURENA SC AWAY
1.33SCORED A GAME1.411.67CONCEDED A GAME1.1770%BOTH SCORED30%20%CLEAN SHEETS30%4.46CORNERS A GAME4.502.58CARDS A GAME3.12
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.18POINTS A GAME1.40+0.55GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.10+3.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+4.72.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.411LEAGUE GAMES10
Atletico El Vigia: the quality side - more points a game.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
47%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
42%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
82%
NO · 85/90
ATLETICO EL VIGIA OR DRAW
83%
OKAY · 80/85
URENA SC OR DRAW
42%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
ATLETICO EL VIGIAxURENA SC
5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME0.801.60CONCEDED A GAME1.203.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES7.0–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.8
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Atletico El Vigia have scored in 90% of their games.
Urena SC have scored in 40% of their games.
Atletico El Vigia kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Urena SC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards