Match details. HNL, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Kranjčevićeva, Zagreb. The referee is Antonio Melnjak.
What's at stake. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb are 8th on 7 points after 9 games, 3 points behind NK Slaven Belupo, level on points with Rudes. A win would take them level on points with NK Slaven Belupo. NK Istra 1961 are 6th on 12 points after 9 games, 2 points behind HNK Rijeka, 2 points clear of NK Slaven Belupo. A win would take them above HNK Rijeka.
Form. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W L. NK Istra 1961 have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W D.
The numbers. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb score 1.3 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb average 7.2 shots (2.7 on target), 4.4 corners and 3.9 cards a game, with 44% of the ball. NK Istra 1961 score 2.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. NK Istra 1961 average 11.8 shots (5.2 on target), 4.3 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 45% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have won three, drawn three and lost four. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb won two, one was drawn and NK Istra 1961 won one. The last time they met, on 1 Aug 2026, it finished NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 3-2 NK Istra 1961: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb had 10 shots to 23, 46% of the ball, four yellow cards.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.21, 77% on the records (NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9; NK Istra 1961: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.18. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: NK Istra 1961 or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); NK Istra 1961 or Draw (1UP) (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-1 NK Istra 1961 (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).