Hapoel Kfar Saba FC vs FC Ashdod
Match details. National League, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Mon 12 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Hapoel Kfar Saba FC are 15th on 6 points after 8 games, level on points with Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa, 5 points clear of Hapoel Acre. A win would take them above Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa. FC Ashdod are 2nd on 21 points after 8 games, 2 points behind Bnei Yehuda, 4 points clear of Hapoel Rishon LeZion. A win would take them above Bnei Yehuda.
Form. Hapoel Kfar Saba FC have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L. FC Ashdod have won eight, drawn none and lost two of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W.
The numbers. Hapoel Kfar Saba FC score two and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Hapoel Kfar Saba FC average 4.0 corners and 3.5 cards a game. FC Ashdod score 1.8 and concede two a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. FC Ashdod average 10.6 shots (3.8 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Hapoel Kfar Saba FC have won two, drawn three and lost three. Two of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Hapoel Kfar Saba FC won one and FC Ashdod won three. The last time they met, on 4 Mar 2021, it finished Hapoel Kfar Saba FC 0-2 FC Ashdod.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%; six of the last eight meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%.
The read. FC Ashdod to win. A tight game. FC Ashdod are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Ashdod; the meetings favour FC Ashdod. Six of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); FC Ashdod or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Under 4.5 Goals (FC Ashdod are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Hapoel Kfar Saba FC 0-1 FC Ashdod (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).