RKC Waalwijk vs FC Volendam
Match details. Eerste Divisie, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 11:15 Lagos time. It is played at Mandemakers Stadion, Waalwijk.
What's at stake. RKC Waalwijk are 12th on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with FC Volendam, level on points with NAC Breda. A win would take them above FC Volendam. FC Volendam are 11th on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with FC OSS, level on points with Waalwijk. A win would take them above FC OSS.
Form. RKC Waalwijk have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W W. In this competition RKC Waalwijk have gone L D L W W W. FC Volendam have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L W. In this competition FC Volendam have gone W L W L W L.
The numbers. RKC Waalwijk score three and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. RKC Waalwijk average 13.1 shots (5.4 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. FC Volendam score 1.2 and concede 2.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. FC Volendam average 12.8 shots (5.2 on target), 3.6 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings RKC Waalwijk have won three, drawn one and lost five. Seven of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, RKC Waalwijk won two and FC Volendam won two. The last time they met, on 7 Apr 2024, it finished RKC Waalwijk 2-3 FC Volendam: RKC Waalwijk had 15 shots to 20, 59% of the ball, five yellow cards.
The case against. FC Volendam's record still gives them 21% to win.
The read. RKC Waalwijk to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make RKC Waalwijk the likelier winners; both teams' records favour RKC Waalwijk. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%. Seven of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FC Volendam or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs RKC Waalwijk); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: RKC Waalwijk 2-1 FC Volendam (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).