Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
Match details. Chinese Super League, Regular Season - 28. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 12:35 Lagos time. It is played at Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium.
What's at stake. Yunnan Yukun are 5th on 38 points after 27 games, level on points with Shandong Luneng, level on points with Qingdao Youth Island. A win would take them above Shandong Luneng. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC are 9th on 32 points after 27 games, 2 points behind Shanghai Shenhua, 1 point clear of Hangzhou Greentown. A win would take them above Shanghai Shenhua. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC have nothing left to play for, while Yunnan Yukun need the win.
Form. Yunnan Yukun have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L D. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D L.
The numbers. Yunnan Yukun score 2.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. Yunnan Yukun average 15.2 shots (5.6 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 51% of the ball. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC score 0.2 and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC average 10.5 shots (3.0 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.1 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Yunnan Yukun have won one, drawn four and lost one. One of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Yunnan Yukun won one, two were drawn and Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won one. The last time they met, on 2 Sep 2026, it finished Yunnan Yukun 1-0 Chongqing Tonglianglong FC.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%; five of the last six meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game.
The read. Yunnan Yukun to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Yunnan Yukun the likelier winners; Yunnan Yukun are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Yunnan Yukun. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%. Five of the last six meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Yunnan Yukun or Draw at 1.18, 74% on the records (Yunnan Yukun unbeaten in 5 of 8; Chongqing Tonglianglong FC failed to win 8 of 8). Backup: Yunnan Yukun or Both Teams Score at 1.11. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Yunnan Yukun or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Chongqing Tonglianglong FC Under 1.5 goals (Yunnan Yukun's own games don't back it (3 of 8)). Predicted score: Yunnan Yukun 1-0 Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).