ENGLAND AMATEUR - ISTHMIAN LEAGUE, PR. DIV

TBTHR

19:45Tue 13 Oct

LEW

Three Bridges vs Lewes FC

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

TOTAL GOALS

Class E

TBv

Over 1.5 Goals

Three Bridges v Lewes FC

England Amateur -… · 19:45

1.16odds

86%book

-9edge

2/2angles

THE READ

Match details. Isthmian League, Pr. Div, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Tue 13 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Three Bridges are 20th on 8 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Maldon & Tiptree, 3 points clear of Whitehawk. A win would take them above Maldon & Tiptree. Lewes FC are 4th on 22 points after 11 games, 2 points behind Dartford, 1 point clear of Carshalton Athletic. A win would take them above Dartford.

Form. Three Bridges have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L W. In this competition Three Bridges have gone W D L L W D. Lewes FC have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W L. In this competition Lewes FC have gone W W L W L W.

The numbers. Three Bridges score 1.9 and concede 2.9 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets. Lewes FC score 1.5 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets. Lewes FC average 4.0 corners and 1.5 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last two meetings Three Bridges have won one, drawn one and lost none. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 20 Sep 2022, it finished Three Bridges 4-0 Lewes FC.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 34% against the records' 58%.

The read. No firm call: Lewes FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Lewes FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Lewes FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 75%.

The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.18, 77% on the records (Three Bridges: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10; Lewes FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 away). Leave: Lewes FC or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Three Bridges 2-1 Lewes FC (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Lewes FC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

THR 5 of 6 (83%) · LEW 10 of 10 (100%)92.8%

Lewes FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · Three Bridges: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Lewes FC: only games against sides at Three Bridges's level · Three Bridges: only games against sides at Lewes FC's level

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

THR 10 of 10 (100%) · LEW 5 of 6 (83%)93.2%

Three Bridges: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lewes FC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 95% · Three Bridges: only games against sides at Lewes FC's level · Lewes FC: only games against sides at Three Bridges's level

Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES

1.16

THR 10 of 10 (100%) · LEW 5 of 6 (83%)77.2%

Three Bridges: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lewes FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 85% · Three Bridges: only games against sides at Lewes FC's level · Lewes FC: only games against sides at Three Bridges's level

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.62

THR 10 of 10 (100%) · LEW 3 of 6 (50%)52.6%

Three Bridges: over 2.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lewes FC: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 75% · Three Bridges: only games against sides at Lewes FC's level · Lewes FC: only games against sides at Three Bridges's level

LEWES FC GOALS

Lewes FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

THR 5 of 6 (83%) · LEW 10 of 10 (100%)73.9%

Lewes FC scored in 5 of 6 away · Three Bridges conceded in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Lewes FC: only games against sides at Three Bridges's level · Three Bridges: only games against sides at Lewes FC's level

Left off the list: Lewes FC or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (66%) and the records (93%) are 27 points apart, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 8.6%

Three Bridges goals →

Lewes FC goals ↓

0-07%

1-08%

2-06%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-26%

1-28%

2-26%

3-23%

4-21.0%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-34%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.8%

1-41%

2-40.9%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

THREE BRIDGESLLLLDWLLDW0.80 PPG

LEWES FCDWWWWLWLWW2.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

THREE BRIDGES HOMExLEWES FC AWAY

1.90SCORED A GAME1.702.90CONCEDED A GAME0.800%CLEAN SHEETS40%10%FAILED TO SCORE18%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.80POINTS A GAME1.90-1.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.30–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.810LEAGUE GAMES10

Lewes FC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

92%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

85%

VERY GOOD · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

68%

NO · 85/90

THREE BRIDGES OR DRAW

48%

NO · 80/85

LEWES FC OR DRAW

71%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

THREE BRIDGESxLEWES FC

5GAMES52.20SCORED A GAME1.802.60CONCEDED A GAME1.404.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.2100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%100%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%80%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

THREE BRIDGES 1 · 50%DRAW 1LEWES FC 0 · 0%

2022-09-17Three Bridges 1 – 1 Lewes FC

2022-09-20Three Bridges 4 – 0 Lewes FC

TRENDS

Three Bridges have scored in 80% of their games.

Lewes FC have scored in 90% of their games.

Three Bridges kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.

Lewes FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague table