Match details. Southern League Premier South, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Tue 13 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Malvern Town are 22nd on 5 points after 10 games, level on points with Havant & Wville. A win would take them above Havant & Wville. Yate Town are 15th on 12 points after 10 games, level on points with Basingstoke Town, 1 point clear of Sholing. A win would take them above Basingstoke Town.
Form. Malvern Town have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L. In this competition Malvern Town have gone L L W L L L. Yate Town have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W L. In this competition Yate Town have gone L D L W L L.
The numbers. Malvern Town score 1.4 and concede 2.9 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Malvern Town average 7.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Yate Town score 1.2 and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Malvern Town have won two, drawn two and lost none. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 25 Jan 2025, it finished Malvern Town 3-0 Yate Town.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Malvern Town the likelier winners, but Yate Town are the stronger side on form and the table.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 73%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.16, 78% on the records (Malvern Town: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10; Yate Town: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Leave: Malvern Town or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Yate Town or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Malvern Town 2-1 Yate Town (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).