Match details. Southern League Premier South, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Tue 13 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Chippenham Town are 20th on 8 points after 9 games, 2 points behind Gloucester City, 3 points clear of Havant & Wville. A win would take them above Gloucester City. Frome Town are 6th on 16 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Bath City, level on points with Chichester City. A win would take them above Bath City.
Form. Chippenham Town have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D D. Frome Town have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D L D. In this competition Frome Town have gone D D D L D W.
The numbers. Chippenham Town score 1.1 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Chippenham Town average 6.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game. Frome Town score 1.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal.
Head to head. In the last three meetings Chippenham Town have won two, drawn one and lost none. One of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 15 Sep 2015, it finished Chippenham Town 1-0 Frome Town.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%; two of the last three meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Chippenham Town 1-1 Frome Town (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).