Match details. Southern League Premier Central, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Tue 13 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Bury Town FC are 2nd on 27 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Real Bedford, 4 points clear of Bromsgrove Sporting. A win would take them above Real Bedford. Needham Market are 9th on 14 points after 10 games, 2 points behind Anstey Nomads, 1 point clear of Redditch United. A win would take them above Anstey Nomads.
Form. Bury Town FC have won nine, drawn none and lost one of their last ten, 2.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W. In this competition Bury Town FC have gone W W W L W W. Needham Market have won four, drawn two and lost three of their last nine, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W D. In this competition Needham Market have gone D L W W D W.
The numbers. Bury Town FC score 1.9 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. Needham Market score two and concede 1.6 a game over their last nine, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Needham Market average 2.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Bury Town FC have won none, drawn one and lost one. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 21 Feb 2026, it finished Bury Town FC 1-1 Needham Market.
The case against. Needham Market's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. Bury Town FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Bury Town FC the likelier winners; Bury Town FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Bury Town FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.22, 77% on the records (Bury Town FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 10; Needham Market: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 9). Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Bury Town FC 2-1 Needham Market (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).