Match details. Hessenliga, Hessen - 13. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. Csc 03 Kassel have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten league games, 1.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L D W W L. FSV Fernwald have won two, drawn six and lost two of their last ten league games, 1.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D D D L D.
The numbers. Csc 03 Kassel score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. FSV Fernwald score two and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet.
The read. A draw. An open game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Csc 03 Kassel 2-2 FSV Fernwald (6% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (FSV Fernwald the favourite), an open game.
The league run. Csc 03 Kassel: up and down in the league (D W L D L). FSV Fernwald: unbeaten in their last five league games but drawing, the last three all draws (D D D D W).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).