Match details. Super Lig, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Gaziantep Stadyumu. The referee is G. Hasova.
What's at stake. Gaziantep FK are 10th on 8 points after 6 games, 2 points behind Rizespor, level on points with Gençlerbirliği S.K.. A win would take them above Rizespor. Corum FK are 13th on 7 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Erzurumspor FK, level on points with Başakşehir. A win would take them above Erzurumspor FK.
Team news. Gaziantep FK are without F. Bavuk (hamstring injury), N. Sangare (back injury), F. Bavuk (hamstring injury), N. Sangare (back injury). Corum FK are without M. Thiam (inactive), M. Thiam (inactive).
Form. Gaziantep FK have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L W. Corum FK have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L.
The numbers. Gaziantep FK score 0.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Gaziantep FK average 11.6 shots (3.7 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. Corum FK score 2.2 and concede two a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Corum FK average 11.9 shots (4.4 on target), 5.5 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Corum FK or Under 2.5 Goals (no side to back); Corum FK or Over 2.5 Goals (no side to back); Gaziantep FK Under 1.5 goals (Corum FK's own games don't back it (3 of 6)). Predicted score: Gaziantep FK 1-1 Corum FK (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).