Busan IPark vs Jeonnam Dragons
Match details. K-League 2, Regular Season - 29. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 08:30 Lagos time. It is played at Busan Gudeok Stadium.
What's at stake. Busan IPark are 6th on 42 points after 27 games, 2 points behind Hwaseong, 4 points clear of Gimpo Citizen. A win would take them above Hwaseong. Jeonnam Dragons are 16th on 24 points after 26 games, 1 point behind Ansan Greeners, 10 points clear of Gimhae City. A win would take them above Ansan Greeners.
Form. Busan IPark have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L L. In this competition Busan IPark have gone D L W L L D. Jeonnam Dragons have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D W. In this competition Jeonnam Dragons have gone W L D D W W.
The numbers. Busan IPark score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Busan IPark average 4.7 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Jeonnam Dragons score 1.2 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Jeonnam Dragons average 4.4 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Busan IPark have won four, drawn three and lost three. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Busan IPark won one, two were drawn and Jeonnam Dragons won one. The last time they met, on 5 Jul 2026, it finished Busan IPark 3-3 Jeonnam Dragons.
The case against. Jeonnam Dragons's record still gives them 42% to win.
The read. Busan IPark or the draw. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.38, 77% on the records (Busan IPark: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Jeonnam Dragons: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10). Backup: Under 1.5 first-half goals at 1.45. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Busan IPark 1-1 Jeonnam Dragons (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).