COCER

07:00Sat 17 Oct

KAW

Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. J1 League, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 07:00 Lagos time. It is played at Yanmar Hanasaka Stadium, Osaka.

What's at stake. Cerezo Osaka are 12th on 12 points after 9 games, level on points with Urawa, 3 points clear of Mito Hollyhock. A win would take them above Urawa. Kawasaki Frontale are 8th on 13 points after 9 games, 2 points behind Yokohama F. Marinos, level on points with Fagiano Okayama. A win would take them above Yokohama F. Marinos.

Form. Cerezo Osaka have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W D. Kawasaki Frontale have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W D.

The numbers. Cerezo Osaka score 1.4 and concede 0.2 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Cerezo Osaka average 11.9 shots (4.3 on target), 5.9 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 57% of the ball. Kawasaki Frontale score 2.3 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Kawasaki Frontale average 14.4 shots (5.8 on target), 4.7 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Cerezo Osaka have won five, drawn four and lost one. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Cerezo Osaka won two, one was drawn and Kawasaki Frontale won one. The last time they met, on 25 Oct 2025, it finished Cerezo Osaka 2-0 Kawasaki Frontale: Cerezo Osaka had 13 shots to 12, 35% of the ball, one yellow card.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Kawasaki Frontale or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Kawasaki Frontale or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Cerezo Osaka 1-1 Kawasaki Frontale (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.09

CER 5 of 6 (83%) · KAW 4 of 6 (67%)96.3%

Cerezo Osaka: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Kawasaki Frontale: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 6 of 6 · Cerezo Osaka: only games against sides at Kawasaki Frontale's level · Kawasaki Frontale: only games against sides at Cerezo Osaka's level

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.24

CER 5 of 6 (83%) · KAW 4 of 6 (67%)90.8%

Cerezo Osaka: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Kawasaki Frontale: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 6 of 6 · Cerezo Osaka: only games against sides at Kawasaki Frontale's level · Kawasaki Frontale: only games against sides at Cerezo Osaka's level

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.17

CER 4 of 6 (67%) · KAW 5 of 6 (83%)72.9%

Cerezo Osaka: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Kawasaki Frontale: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Cerezo Osaka: only games against sides at Kawasaki Frontale's level · Kawasaki Frontale: only games against sides at Cerezo Osaka's level

Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Kawasaki Frontale or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Kawasaki Frontale or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.1%

Cerezo Osaka goals →

Kawasaki Frontale goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-08%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-23%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.5%

1-40.8%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

CEREZO OSAKAWDWWDLDWLW1.80 PPG

KAWASAKI FRONTALEWLWWDWWLWW2.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CEREZO OSAKA HOMExKAWASAKI FRONTALE AWAY

0.78SCORED A GAME1.891.33CONCEDED A GAME1.5640%CLEAN SHEETS40%44%FAILED TO SCORE0%5.89CORNERS A GAME4.671.40CARDS A GAME1.441.37xG2.541.64xG AGAINST1.50

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO

–

138 OF 151

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.33POINTS A GAME1.50-0.56GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.38+1.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.21.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.49LEAGUE GAMES8

Kawasaki Frontale: the quality side - a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

71%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

54%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

83%

NO · 85/90

CEREZO OSAKA OR DRAW

85%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

KAWASAKI FRONTALE OR DRAW

52%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

CEREZO OSAKAxKAWASAKI FRONTALE

5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME1.801.40CONCEDED A GAME1.602.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.460%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%40%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

CEREZO OSAKA 5 · 50%DRAW 4KAWASAKI FRONTALE 1 · 10%

5 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

8 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

4 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

2 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2022-04-02Cerezo Osaka 4 – 1 Kawasaki Frontale

2022-07-02Cerezo Osaka 2 – 1 Kawasaki Frontale

2022-08-03Cerezo Osaka 1 – 1 Kawasaki Frontale

2022-08-10Cerezo Osaka 2 – 2 Kawasaki Frontale

2023-03-18Cerezo Osaka 0 – 0 Kawasaki Frontale

2023-09-02Cerezo Osaka 3 – 0 Kawasaki Frontale

2024-04-13Cerezo Osaka 1 – 0 Kawasaki Frontale

2024-07-14Cerezo Osaka 1 – 1 Kawasaki Frontale

TRENDS

Cerezo Osaka have scored in 70% of their games.

Kawasaki Frontale have scored in 100% of their games.

Cerezo Osaka kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Kawasaki Frontale kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards