Match details. Northern Premier League Premier, Regular Season - 14. Kick-off is Tue 13 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Redcar Athletic FC are 2nd on 28 points after 13 games, 2 points behind Cleethorpes Town, 3 points clear of Guiseley AFC. A win would take them above Cleethorpes Town. Avro FC are 4th on 25 points after 11 games, level on points with Guiseley AFC, 3 points clear of Curzon Ashton. A win would take them above Guiseley AFC.
Form. Redcar Athletic FC have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D W. In this competition Redcar Athletic FC have gone W L W D W W. Avro FC have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W W. In this competition Avro FC have gone L W W W W D.
The numbers. Redcar Athletic FC score 2.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Redcar Athletic FC average 3.0 corners and 0.7 cards a game. Avro FC score 2.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Avro FC average 5.8 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
The case against. Avro FC's record still gives them 40% to win.
The read. Redcar Athletic FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Redcar Athletic FC the likelier winners; Redcar Athletic FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Redcar Athletic FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.16, 81% on the records (Redcar Athletic FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Avro FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: Redcar Athletic FC or Avro FC at 1.25. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Avro FC or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Redcar Athletic FC); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Redcar Athletic FC 2-1 Avro FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).