Gainsborough Trinity vs Ilkeston Town FC
Match details. Northern Premier League Premier, Regular Season - 14. Kick-off is Tue 13 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Gainsborough Trinity are 9th on 19 points after 11 games, level on points with Bury, level on points with Warrington Town. A win would take them above Bury. Ilkeston Town FC are 21st on 7 points after 13 games, 3 points behind Bamber Bridge, 1 point clear of United of Manchester. A win would take them level on points with Bamber Bridge.
Form. Gainsborough Trinity have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L W. In this competition Gainsborough Trinity have gone W W L L W D. Ilkeston Town FC have won none, drawn one and lost nine of their last ten, 0.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. In this competition Ilkeston Town FC have gone L L L L L L.
The numbers. Gainsborough Trinity score two and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Gainsborough Trinity average 2.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Ilkeston Town FC score 0.4 and concede 2.8 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and six games without a goal. Ilkeston Town FC average 2.9 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Gainsborough Trinity have won one, drawn three and lost two. Two of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, Gainsborough Trinity won one and three were drawn. The last time they met, on 20 Dec 2025, it finished Gainsborough Trinity 0-0 Ilkeston Town FC.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%; four of the last six meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Ilkeston Town FC's record still gives them 23% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%.
The read. Gainsborough Trinity to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Gainsborough Trinity the likelier winners; Gainsborough Trinity are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Gainsborough Trinity. Four of the last six meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Gainsborough Trinity or Draw at 1.14, 82% on the records (Gainsborough Trinity unbeaten in 6 of 10; Ilkeston Town FC failed to win 10 of 10). Leave: Gainsborough Trinity or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Gainsborough Trinity or Draw (1UP) (the signs point different ways); Gainsborough Trinity or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Gainsborough Trinity 2-0 Ilkeston Town FC (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).