ENGLAND AMATEUR - NORTHERN PREMIER LEAGUE PREMIER

AUASH

19:45Tue 13 Oct

ALF

Ashton United FC vs Alfreton Town FC

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Northern Premier League Premier, Regular Season - 14. Kick-off is Tue 13 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Ashton United FC are 14th on 13 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Hyde United, level on points with Quorn. A win would take them above Hyde United. Alfreton Town FC are 11th on 18 points after 13 games, 1 point behind Warrington Town, 1 point clear of Lancaster City. A win would take them above Warrington Town.

Form. Ashton United FC have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L L. In this competition Ashton United FC have gone D D L L L D. Alfreton Town FC have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W L. In this competition Alfreton Town FC have gone L W L W L W.

The numbers. Ashton United FC score one and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Ashton United FC average 3.0 corners and 1.3 cards a game. Alfreton Town FC score 1.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Alfreton Town FC average 4.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Alfreton Town FC are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour Ashton United FC.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Alfreton Town FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Alfreton Town FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Alfreton Town FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Ashton United FC 1-1 Alfreton Town FC (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ASH 10 of 10 (100%) · ALF 5 of 5 (100%)95%

Ashton United FC: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Alfreton Town FC: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Ashton United FC: only games against sides at Alfreton Town FC's level · Alfreton Town FC: only games against sides at Ashton United FC's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ASH 10 of 10 (100%) · ALF 4 of 5 (80%)87.5%

Ashton United FC: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Alfreton Town FC: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Ashton United FC: only games against sides at Alfreton Town FC's level · Alfreton Town FC: only games against sides at Ashton United FC's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.48

ASH 5 of 10 (50%) · ALF 3 of 5 (60%)53.9%

Ashton United FC: both scored in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Alfreton Town FC: both scored in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 50% · Ashton United FC: only games against sides at Alfreton Town FC's level · Alfreton Town FC: only games against sides at Ashton United FC's level

ASHTON UNITED FC GOALS

Ashton United FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ASH 7 of 10 (70%) · ALF 5 of 5 (100%)73.8%

Ashton United FC scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Alfreton Town FC conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · Ashton United FC: only games against sides at Alfreton Town FC's level · Alfreton Town FC: only games against sides at Ashton United FC's level

ALFRETON TOWN FC GOALS

Alfreton Town FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ASH 3 of 5 (60%) · ALF 8 of 10 (80%)72.1%

Alfreton Town FC scored in 3 of 5 away · Ashton United FC conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Alfreton Town FC: only games against sides at Ashton United FC's level · Ashton United FC: only games against sides at Alfreton Town FC's level

Left off the list: Alfreton Town FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Alfreton Town FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Alfreton Town FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.2%

Ashton United FC goals →

Alfreton Town FC goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01.0%

5-00.3%

0-19%

1-113%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.8%

1-41%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

ASHTON UNITED FCWLWDDLLLDD1.00 PPG

ALFRETON TOWN FCLLWLWLWLWL1.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

ASHTON UNITED FC HOMExALFRETON TOWN FC AWAY

1.00SCORED A GAME1.501.20CONCEDED A GAME1.400%CLEAN SHEETS30%27%FAILED TO SCORE23%3.00CORNERS A GAME4.001.33CARDS A GAME2.00

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.18POINTS A GAME1.38-0.18GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.31-1.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.50.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.211LEAGUE GAMES13

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

65%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

49%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

91%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

ASHTON UNITED FC OR DRAW

74%

NO · 80/85

ALFRETON TOWN FC OR DRAW

34%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 13 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

ASHTON UNITED FCxALFRETON TOWN FC

5GAMES61.40SCORED A GAME1.001.40CONCEDED A GAME1.672.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.780%OVER 1.5 GOALS67%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS50%40%BOTH SCORE50%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Ashton United FC have scored in 70% of their games.

Alfreton Town FC have scored in 80% of their games.

Ashton United FC kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.

Alfreton Town FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards