Iwaki FC vs Ventforet Kofu
Match details. J2 League, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 05:00 Lagos time. It is played at Iwaki Greenfield.
What's at stake. Iwaki FC are 15th on 12 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Blaublitz Akita, 1 point clear of Tochigi City. A win would take them above Blaublitz Akita. Ventforet Kofu are 20th on 10 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Vanraure Hachinohe. A win would take them above Vanraure Hachinohe.
Form. Iwaki FC have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W W. In this competition Iwaki FC have gone W L L W W L. Ventforet Kofu have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L. In this competition Ventforet Kofu have gone W L L L L W.
The numbers. Iwaki FC score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Iwaki FC average 6.7 corners and 1.4 cards a game. Ventforet Kofu score 0.9 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. Ventforet Kofu average 3.8 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Iwaki FC have won one, drawn three and lost four. One of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Iwaki FC won one and Ventforet Kofu won three. The last time they met, on 9 May 2026, it finished Iwaki FC 0-1 Ventforet Kofu.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Iwaki FC are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour Iwaki FC; the meetings favour Ventforet Kofu.
The case against. Ventforet Kofu's record still gives them 41% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. Iwaki FC to win. A tight game. Iwaki FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Iwaki FC; the meetings favour Ventforet Kofu. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%. Seven of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Iwaki FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Iwaki FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Iwaki FC 1-0 Ventforet Kofu (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).