Sign In
USA - USL CHAMPIONSHIP
Las Vegas Lights crestLVLAS
03:30Sun 18 Oct
LEXLexington SC crestLS

Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington SC

CLASS E
THE READ

Match details. USL Championship, Group Stage. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 03:30 Lagos time. It is played at Cashman Field. The referee is I. Bych.

What's at stake. Las Vegas Lights are 10th on 36 points after 28 games, level on points with Phoenix Rising, 1 point clear of Oakland Roots. A win would take them above Phoenix Rising. Lexington SC are 4th on 44 points after 28 games, 1 point behind Sacramento Republic, 1 point clear of FC Tulsa. A win would take them above Sacramento Republic. Las Vegas Lights have nothing left to play for.

Form. Las Vegas Lights have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D W. In this competition Las Vegas Lights have gone L W L D W L. Lexington SC have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W W. In this competition Lexington SC have gone D W W W W L.

The numbers. Las Vegas Lights score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Las Vegas Lights average 4.1 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Lexington SC score two and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Lexington SC average 5.2 corners and 1.8 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last four meetings Las Vegas Lights have won two, drawn one and lost one. One of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 22 Aug 2026, it finished Las Vegas Lights 0-2 Lexington SC.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Lexington SC are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour Las Vegas Lights. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%; three of the last four meetings went under 2.5.

The case against. Las Vegas Lights's record still gives them 47% to win.

The read. Lexington SC or the draw. Lexington SC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Las Vegas Lights.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Lexington SC 1UP (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Las Vegas Lights 1-1 Lexington SC (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Lexington SC or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.21
LAS 4 of 5 (80%) · LEX 4 of 5 (80%)80%
Lexington SC scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 away · Las Vegas Lights trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 at home
Lexington SC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.29
LAS 3 of 5 (60%) · LEX 4 of 5 (80%)75%
Lexington SC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · Las Vegas Lights: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85% · H2H 3 of 4 · Lexington SC: only games against sides at Las Vegas Lights's level · Las Vegas Lights: only games against sides at Lexington SC's level
Lexington SC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LAS 4 of 5 (80%) · LEX 4 of 5 (80%)74.5%
Lexington SC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Las Vegas Lights: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75% · H2H 2 of 4 · Lexington SC: only games against sides at Las Vegas Lights's level · Las Vegas Lights: only games against sides at Lexington SC's level
Lexington SC win or both teams scoreIN CODES
1.17
LAS 4 of 5 (80%) · LEX 4 of 5 (80%)73.4%
Lexington SC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Las Vegas Lights: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70% · H2H 2 of 4 · Lexington SC: only games against sides at Las Vegas Lights's level · Las Vegas Lights: only games against sides at Lexington SC's level
Lexington SC or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.30
LAS 4 of 5 (80%) · LEX 3 of 5 (60%)61.8%
Lexington SC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Las Vegas Lights: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 65% · H2H 2 of 4 · Lexington SC: only games against sides at Las Vegas Lights's level · Las Vegas Lights: only games against sides at Lexington SC's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LAS 5 of 5 (100%) · LEX 5 of 5 (100%)96%
Las Vegas Lights: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Lexington SC: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · H2H 4 of 4 · Las Vegas Lights: only games against sides at Lexington SC's level · Lexington SC: only games against sides at Las Vegas Lights's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.20
LAS 5 of 5 (100%) · LEX 2 of 5 (40%)90.2%
Las Vegas Lights: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Lexington SC: under 4.5 goals in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 4 of 4 · Las Vegas Lights: only games against sides at Lexington SC's level · Lexington SC: only games against sides at Las Vegas Lights's level
Over 1.5 GoalsLEANIN CODES
1.18
LAS 4 of 5 (80%) · LEX 4 of 5 (80%)68.6%
Las Vegas Lights: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Lexington SC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 2 of 4 · Las Vegas Lights: only games against sides at Lexington SC's level · Lexington SC: only games against sides at Las Vegas Lights's level
LAS VEGAS LIGHTS GOALS
Las Vegas Lights Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES
1.29
LAS 4 of 5 (80%) · LEX 5 of 5 (100%)60%
Las Vegas Lights scored in 4 of 5 at home · Lexington SC conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 2 of 4 · Las Vegas Lights: only games against sides at Lexington SC's level · Lexington SC: only games against sides at Las Vegas Lights's level
LEXINGTON SC GOALS
Lexington SC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.16
LAS 4 of 5 (80%) · LEX 4 of 5 (80%)75%
Lexington SC scored in 4 of 5 away · Las Vegas Lights conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70% · H2H 2 of 4 · Lexington SC: only games against sides at Las Vegas Lights's level · Las Vegas Lights: only games against sides at Lexington SC's level
HALVES
Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.55
LAS 4 of 5 (80%) · LEX 4 of 5 (80%)76.4%
Las Vegas Lights: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Lexington SC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 3 of 4 · on half-time scores · Las Vegas Lights: only games against sides at Lexington SC's level · Lexington SC: only games against sides at Las Vegas Lights's level
Left off the list: Lexington SC 1UP (the numbers (56%) and the records (80%) are 24 points apart, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.1%
Las Vegas Lights goals →
Lexington SC goals ↓
0-08%
1-08%
2-06%
3-02%
4-00.7%
5-00.2%
0-19%
1-113%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-27%
1-29%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-34%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-41%
1-41%
2-40.9%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.3%
1-50.4%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10
LAS VEGAS LIGHTSWWLLLWDLWL1.30 PPG
LEXINGTON SCLWLLLWWWWD1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
LAS VEGAS LIGHTS HOMExLEXINGTON SC AWAY
1.20SCORED A GAME2.101.40CONCEDED A GAME1.1030%CLEAN SHEETS30%14%FAILED TO SCORE25%4.07CORNERS A GAME5.251.93CARDS A GAME1.79
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.40POINTS A GAME1.81-0.07GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.88+2.9SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+4.81.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.615LEAGUE GAMES16
Lexington SC: the quality side - a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
72%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
48%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
65%
NO · 85/90
LAS VEGAS LIGHTS OR DRAW
56%
NO · 80/85
LEXINGTON SC OR DRAW
69%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (15 and 16 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
LAS VEGAS LIGHTSxLEXINGTON SC
8GAMES70.88SCORED A GAME2.001.12CONCEDED A GAME1.432.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.475%OVER 1.5 GOALS71%38%OVER 2.5 GOALS71%62%BOTH SCORE71%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4
LAS VEGAS LIGHTS 2 · 50%DRAW 1LEXINGTON SC 1 · 25%
1 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED
2 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS
1 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS
0 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS
2025-04-12Las Vegas Lights 0 – 0 Lexington SC
2025-08-31Las Vegas Lights 1 – 0 Lexington SC
2026-05-03Las Vegas Lights 2 – 1 Lexington SC
2026-08-22Las Vegas Lights 0 – 2 Lexington SC
TRENDS
Las Vegas Lights have scored in 80% of their games.
Lexington SC have scored in 70% of their games.
Las Vegas Lights kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Lexington SC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards
HomeAnalysisBest 10PicksBankBuild · AIMarketsShareAccount