Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising FC
Match details. USL Championship, Group Stage. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 03:00 Lagos time. It is played at Championship Soccer Stadium. The referee is M. Corrigan.
What's at stake. Orange County SC are 7th on 39 points after 28 games, 2 points behind Colorado Springs, level on points with San Antonio. A win would take them above Colorado Springs. Phoenix Rising FC are 9th on 36 points after 28 games, 3 points behind San Antonio, level on points with Las Vegas Lights. A win would take them level on points with San Antonio. Phoenix Rising FC have nothing left to play for.
Form. Orange County SC have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L. In this competition Orange County SC have gone L L W L L D. Phoenix Rising FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L W. In this competition Phoenix Rising FC have gone W L L L W D.
The numbers. Orange County SC score 0.9 and concede 2.3 a game in their last seven at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Orange County SC average 3.8 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Phoenix Rising FC score 0.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Phoenix Rising FC average 4.2 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Orange County SC have won two, drawn two and lost four. Four of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Orange County SC won one, one was drawn and Phoenix Rising FC won two. The last time they met, on 17 May 2026, it finished Orange County SC 1-2 Phoenix Rising FC.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Phoenix Rising FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Phoenix Rising FC or draw and over 1.5 goals (no result call); Orange County SC Under 1.5 goals (Phoenix Rising FC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Orange County SC 1-1 Phoenix Rising FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).