Cancun FC vs Venados FC
Match details. Liga de Expansion MX, Apertura - 13. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 02:00 Lagos time. The referee is H. Solorio Arreola.
What's at stake. Cancun FC are 6th on 18 points after 12 games, level on points with Mineros de Zacatecas, level on points with Piratas. A win would take them above Mineros de Zacatecas. Venados FC are 4th on 20 points after 12 games, 3 points behind Monarcas, 2 points clear of Mineros de Zacatecas. A win would take them level on points with Monarcas.
Form. Cancun FC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W D. In this competition Cancun FC have gone D W L W D D. Venados FC have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L W. In this competition Venados FC have gone D W W L W L.
The numbers. Cancun FC score 2.6 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. Cancun FC average 4.3 corners and 2.8 cards a game. Venados FC score 1.6 and concede three a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Venados FC average 5.0 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Cancun FC have won three, drawn one and lost six. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Cancun FC won one and Venados FC won three. The last time they met, on 11 Feb 2026, it finished Cancun FC 0-2 Venados FC.
Where it pulls both ways. Cancun FC are the form side, but the meetings favour Venados FC: in the last ten meetings, Cancun FC won three, Venados FC won six and one was drawn.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 71%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.12, 79% on the records (Cancun FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Venados FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: Cancun FC Over 0.5 Goals at 1.15. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Cancun FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Venados FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Cancun FC or Both Teams Score (no result call). Predicted score: Cancun FC 2-1 Venados FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).