El Paso Locomotive FC vs Sacramento Republic FC
Match details. USL Championship, Group Stage. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 02:00 Lagos time. It is played at Southwest University Park. The referee is M. Thompson.
What's at stake. El Paso Locomotive FC are 1st on 50 points after 28 games, 1 point clear of New Mexico United. Sacramento Republic FC are 3rd on 45 points after 28 games, 4 points behind New Mexico United, 1 point clear of Lexington.
Form. El Paso Locomotive FC have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W W. In this competition El Paso Locomotive FC have gone W L D W W W. Sacramento Republic FC have won four, drawn six and lost none of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W D. In this competition Sacramento Republic FC have gone D D W W D W.
The numbers. El Paso Locomotive FC score two and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. El Paso Locomotive FC average 4.4 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Sacramento Republic FC score 1.4 and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Sacramento Republic FC average 5.7 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings El Paso Locomotive FC have won five, drawn none and lost five. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, El Paso Locomotive FC won three and Sacramento Republic FC won one. The last time they met, on 29 Mar 2026, it finished El Paso Locomotive FC 2-1 Sacramento Republic FC.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.33, 74% on the records (El Paso Locomotive FC: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Sacramento Republic FC: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: El Paso Locomotive FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Double Chance: El Paso Locomotive FC or Draw (no result call); El Paso Locomotive FC 1UP (no result call). Predicted score: El Paso Locomotive FC 1-1 Sacramento Republic FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).