San Antonio FC vs New Mexico United
Match details. USL Championship, Group Stage. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 01:30 Lagos time. It is played at Toyota Field. The referee is M. Kaleia.
What's at stake. San Antonio FC are 8th on 39 points after 28 games, level on points with Orange County SC, 3 points clear of Phoenix Rising. A win would take them above Orange County SC. New Mexico United are 2nd on 49 points after 28 games, 1 point behind El Paso Locomotive, 4 points clear of Sacramento Republic. A win would take them above El Paso Locomotive.
Form. San Antonio FC have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D D L. In this competition San Antonio FC have gone D L D D L D. New Mexico United have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L D. In this competition New Mexico United have gone W W L L D D.
The numbers. San Antonio FC score 0.4 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and seven games without a goal. San Antonio FC average 4.0 corners and 2.8 cards a game. New Mexico United score 1.8 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. New Mexico United average 4.0 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings San Antonio FC have won four, drawn none and lost five. Six of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, San Antonio FC won two and New Mexico United won two. The last time they met, on 30 Aug 2026, it finished San Antonio FC 2-1 New Mexico United.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%; six of the last nine meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. San Antonio FC's record still gives them 23% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. New Mexico United to win. An open game. New Mexico United are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour New Mexico United. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%. Six of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: San Antonio FC 1-2 New Mexico United (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).