VSVEG

06:00Sat 17 Oct

TOK

Vegalta Sendai vs Tokushima Vortis

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. J2 League, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 06:00 Lagos time. It is played at Yurtec Stadium Sendai.

What's at stake. Vegalta Sendai are 1st on 23 points after 10 games, 3 points clear of Omiya Ardija. Tokushima Vortis are 12th on 13 points after 10 games, level on points with Jubilo Iwata, 1 point clear of Montedio Yamagata. A win would take them above Jubilo Iwata.

Form. Vegalta Sendai have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W D. Tokushima Vortis have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L W.

The numbers. Vegalta Sendai score 2.2 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Vegalta Sendai average 6.0 corners and 1.4 cards a game. Tokushima Vortis score 0.6 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Tokushima Vortis average 3.4 corners and 0.8 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Vegalta Sendai have won none, drawn five and lost five. One of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Tokushima Vortis won four. The last time they met, on 10 Aug 2025, it finished Vegalta Sendai 0-2 Tokushima Vortis.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Vegalta Sendai the likelier winners, but Vegalta Sendai are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Vegalta Sendai; the meetings favour Tokushima Vortis.

The case against. Tokushima Vortis's record still gives them 38% to win. The meetings do not back them.

The read. Vegalta Sendai to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Vegalta Sendai the likelier winners; Vegalta Sendai are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Vegalta Sendai; the meetings favour Tokushima Vortis. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%. Nine of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Vegalta Sendai are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (Vegalta Sendai are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Vegalta Sendai are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Vegalta Sendai 1-0 Tokushima Vortis (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

TOKUSHIMA VORTIS GOALS

Tokushima Vortis Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES

1.21

VEG 6 of 7 (86%) · TOK 7 of 8 (88%)76.3%

Tokushima Vortis scored under 1.5 in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Vegalta Sendai conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · H2H 4 of 6 · Tokushima Vortis: only games against sides at Vegalta Sendai's level · Vegalta Sendai: only games against sides at Tokushima Vortis's level

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.39

VEG 8 of 8 (100%) · TOK 5 of 7 (71%)76.8%

Vegalta Sendai: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Tokushima Vortis: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · H2H 3 of 6 · on half-time scores · Vegalta Sendai: only games against sides at Tokushima Vortis's level · Tokushima Vortis: only games against sides at Vegalta Sendai's level

Left off the list: Under 3.5 Goals (Vegalta Sendai are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (Vegalta Sendai are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Vegalta Sendai are a clear winner - no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 11%

Vegalta Sendai goals →

Tokushima Vortis goals ↓

0-08%

1-011%

2-09%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.6%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.6%

0-24%

1-26%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.3%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.3%

1-40.5%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

VEGALTA SENDAIWWWWDLWWLW2.20 PPG

TOKUSHIMA VORTISLLWLWLWDWW1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

VEGALTA SENDAI HOMExTOKUSHIMA VORTIS AWAY

1.80SCORED A GAME1.000.80CONCEDED A GAME1.2030%CLEAN SHEETS60%20%FAILED TO SCORE20%6.00CORNERS A GAME3.401.40CARDS A GAME0.80

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

VEGALTA SENDAI OR DRAW (1UP)

–

137 OF 146

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

2.30POINTS A GAME1.44+1.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.11+5.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.02.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.210LEAGUE GAMES9

Vegalta Sendai: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

VEGALTA SENDAI 2:0 HANDICAP

–

389 OF 413

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

67%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

47%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

90%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

VEGALTA SENDAI OR DRAW

86%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

TOKUSHIMA VORTIS OR DRAW

38%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

VEGALTA SENDAIxTOKUSHIMA VORTIS

5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME1.600.60CONCEDED A GAME1.602.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.280%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%60%BOTH SCORE60%4.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–9.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

VEGALTA SENDAI 0 · 0%DRAW 5TOKUSHIMA VORTIS 5 · 50%

4 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

6 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

1 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2021-09-25Vegalta Sendai 0 – 1 Tokushima Vortis

2022-06-11Vegalta Sendai 2 – 2 Tokushima Vortis

2022-09-18Vegalta Sendai 1 – 1 Tokushima Vortis

2023-03-04Vegalta Sendai 1 – 1 Tokushima Vortis

2023-06-25Vegalta Sendai 1 – 1 Tokushima Vortis

2024-03-24Vegalta Sendai 0 – 0 Tokushima Vortis

2024-06-12Vegalta Sendai 0 – 1 Tokushima Vortis

2024-07-14Vegalta Sendai 0 – 2 Tokushima Vortis

TRENDS

Vegalta Sendai have scored in 100% of their games.

Tokushima Vortis have scored in 80% of their games.

Vegalta Sendai kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Tokushima Vortis kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards