Match details. J2 League, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 06:00 Lagos time. It is played at Fujieda soccer stadium.
What's at stake. Fujieda MYFC are 8th on 13 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Oita Trinita, level on points with Blaublitz Akita. A win would take them above Oita Trinita. Montedio Yamagata are 13th on 12 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Tokushima Vortis, level on points with Iwaki. A win would take them above Tokushima Vortis.
Form. Fujieda MYFC have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D L. Montedio Yamagata have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L.
The numbers. Fujieda MYFC score 1.1 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Fujieda MYFC average 5.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game. Montedio Yamagata score 1.2 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Montedio Yamagata average 5.0 corners and 0.7 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings Fujieda MYFC have won two, drawn none and lost five. Five of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Fujieda MYFC won two and Montedio Yamagata won two. The last time they met, on 29 Nov 2025, it finished Fujieda MYFC 1-2 Montedio Yamagata.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%; five of the last seven meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Montedio Yamagata's record still gives them 38% to win. The meetings do not back them. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.
The read. Fujieda MYFC or the draw. An open game. The meetings favour Montedio Yamagata. Five of the last seven meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.31, 72% on the records (Fujieda MYFC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7; Montedio Yamagata: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7). Backup: Fujieda MYFC Over 0.5 Goals at 1.30. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Fujieda MYFC or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Fujieda MYFC 2-1 Montedio Yamagata (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).