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AUSTRALIA - A-LEAGUE
Auckland FC crestAFAUC
05:00Sat 17 Oct
MELMelbourne City FC crestMC

Auckland FC vs Melbourne City FC

CLASS D
THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
70
TOTAL GOALS
Class D
Auckland FC crestAFvMelbourne City FC crestMC
Under 3.5 Goals
Auckland FC v Melbourne City FC
Australia - A-League · 05:00
1.29odds
78%book
-8edge
3/3angles
THE READ

Match details. A-League, Regular Season - 1. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 05:00 Lagos time. It is played at Go Media Stadium, Auckland.

What's at stake. Auckland FC are 12th on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with Macarthur. A win would take them above Macarthur. Melbourne City FC are 10th on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with Melbourne Victory, level on points with Macarthur. A win would take them above Melbourne Victory.

Team news. Auckland FC are without M. Francois (inactive), O. Sail (knee injury), M. Francois (inactive), O. Sail (knee injury). Melbourne City FC are without M. Leckie (hamstring injury), A. Lopane (muscle injury), A. Nabbout (injury), M. Leckie (hamstring injury), A. Lopane (muscle injury), A. Nabbout (injury).

Form. Auckland FC have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D D. In this competition Auckland FC have gone W W D D L D. Melbourne City FC have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W W. In this competition Melbourne City FC have gone L W W W W D.

The numbers. Auckland FC score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Auckland FC average 13.2 shots (3.4 on target), 5.4 corners and 3.2 cards a game, with 46% of the ball. Melbourne City FC score 1.6 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Melbourne City FC average 14.8 shots (5.7 on target), 5.2 corners and 3.2 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last four meetings Auckland FC have won two, drawn one and lost one. Four of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 28 Feb 2026, it finished Auckland FC 3-0 Melbourne City FC: Auckland FC had 17 shots to 11, 43% of the ball, one yellow card.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Auckland FC the likelier winners, but Melbourne City FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Melbourne City FC. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%; four of the last four meetings went over 2.5.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%. Not everything agrees on goals: four of the last four meetings went over 2.5.

The read. No side to back. A draw is live. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.

The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.29, 73% on the records (Auckland FC: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Melbourne City FC: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 7). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.10. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Melbourne City FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Double Chance: Draw or Melbourne City FC (no result call). Predicted score: Auckland FC 1-1 Melbourne City FC (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsBACKUPIN CODES
1.10
AUC 5 of 5 (100%) · MEL 6 of 7 (86%)85.7%
Auckland FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Melbourne City FC: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · H2H 4 of 4 · Auckland FC: only games against sides at Melbourne City FC's level · Melbourne City FC: only games against sides at Auckland FC's level
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.29
AUC 4 of 5 (80%) · MEL 6 of 7 (86%)70.4%
Auckland FC: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Melbourne City FC: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · H2H 3 of 4 · Auckland FC: only games against sides at Melbourne City FC's level · Melbourne City FC: only games against sides at Auckland FC's level
AUCKLAND FC GOALS
Auckland FC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.31
AUC 4 of 5 (80%) · MEL 4 of 7 (57%)74.3%
Auckland FC scored in 4 of 5 at home · Melbourne City FC conceded in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · H2H 4 of 4 · Auckland FC: only games against sides at Melbourne City FC's level · Melbourne City FC: only games against sides at Auckland FC's level
MELBOURNE CITY FC GOALS
Melbourne City FC Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.35
AUC 7 of 7 (100%) · MEL 4 of 5 (80%)66.5%
Melbourne City FC scored in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Auckland FC conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 89% · H2H 2 of 4 · Melbourne City FC: only games against sides at Auckland FC's level · Auckland FC: only games against sides at Melbourne City FC's level
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.44
AUC 4 of 5 (80%) · MEL 6 of 7 (86%)85%
Auckland FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Melbourne City FC: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · H2H 4 of 4 · on half-time scores · Auckland FC: only games against sides at Melbourne City FC's level · Melbourne City FC: only games against sides at Auckland FC's level
CARDS
Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AUC 6 of 7 (86%) · MEL 4 of 6 (67%)76.2%
Auckland FC's games: over 2.5 cards in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Melbourne City FC's games: over 2.5 cards in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · Auckland FC: only games against sides at Melbourne City FC's level · Melbourne City FC: only games against sides at Auckland FC's level
Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Melbourne City FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Double Chance: Draw or Melbourne City FC (no result call); Melbourne City FC or draw and over 1.5 goals (no result call); Melbourne City FC 1UP (no result call); Melbourne City FC or Draw (1UP) (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 12.8%
Auckland FC goals →
Melbourne City FC goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-09%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.6%
0-24%
1-27%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31.0%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.6%
2-40.5%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
AUCKLAND FCWLDDLDDWWL1.30 PPG
MELBOURNE CITY FCDWDWWWWLWL2.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
AUCKLAND FC HOMExMELBOURNE CITY FC AWAY
1.30SCORED A GAME1.701.10CONCEDED A GAME0.9020%CLEAN SHEETS40%5.38CORNERS A GAME5.173.25CARDS A GAME3.171.17xG1.781.34xG AGAINST1.49
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4
AUCKLAND FC 2 · 50%DRAW 1MELBOURNE CITY FC 1 · 25%
2 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED
4 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS
4 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS
2024-12-15Auckland FC 2 – 2 Melbourne City FC
2025-01-18Auckland FC 3 – 0 Melbourne City FC
2026-01-16Auckland FC 1 – 2 Melbourne City FC
2026-02-28Auckland FC 3 – 0 Melbourne City FC
TEAM NEWS

AUCKLAND FC

Out: M. Francois (Inactive), O. Sail (Knee Injury), M. Francois (Inactive), O. Sail (Knee Injury)

MELBOURNE CITY FC

Out: M. Leckie (Hamstring Injury), A. Lopane (Muscle Injury), A. Nabbout (Injury), M. Leckie (Hamstring Injury), A. Lopane (Muscle Injury), A. Nabbout (Injury)
TRENDS
Auckland FC have scored in 80% of their games.
Melbourne City FC have scored in 90% of their games.
Auckland FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Melbourne City FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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