Match details. Premier League. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time.
Form. Lokomotiv Moscow have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D L W. FK Krasnodar have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D D.
The numbers. Lokomotiv Moscow score 1.2 and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Lokomotiv Moscow average 3.1 corners and 2.7 cards a game. FK Krasnodar score one and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. FK Krasnodar average 4.2 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 36%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.37, 78% on the records (Lokomotiv Moscow: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 7; FK Krasnodar: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 7). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Lokomotiv Moscow or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); FK Krasnodar or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Lokomotiv Moscow 1-1 FK Krasnodar (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).