Match details. Torneo Federal A. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 21:30 Lagos time.
Form. CS Belgrano have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L. CA Sarmiento de la Banda have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W.
The numbers. CS Belgrano score one and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. CS Belgrano average 8.8 shots (3.0 on target), 4.2 corners and 3.0 cards a game. CA Sarmiento de la Banda score 0.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. CA Sarmiento de la Banda average 5.8 shots (2.7 on target), 3.2 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make CS Belgrano the likelier winners, but CA Sarmiento de la Banda are the stronger side on form and the table.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: CS Belgrano 1-1 CA Sarmiento de la Banda (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).