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NORWAY - 3. DIVISION, GROUP 5
Tromsoe 2 crestTROTRO
14:30Sun 11 Oct
LILLillestrom SK 2 crestLS

Tromsoe 2 vs Lillestrom SK 2

CLASS E
THE READ

Match details. 3. Division, Group 5. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time.

Form. Tromsoe 2 have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L L. Lillestrom SK 2 have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L W.

The numbers. Tromsoe 2 score 2.2 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Tromsoe 2 average 1.5 corners and 1.2 cards a game. Lillestrom SK 2 score 1.6 and concede three a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Lillestrom SK 2 average 5.7 corners and 1.7 cards a game.

The case against. Lillestrom SK 2's record still gives them 30% to win.

The read. Tromsoe 2 to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Tromsoe 2 the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Tromsoe 2. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 73%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Lillestrom SK 2 or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Tromsoe 2); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Lillestrom SK 2 or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Tromsoe 2). Predicted score: Tromsoe 2 2-1 Lillestrom SK 2 (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Tromsoe 2 or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
TRO 4 of 5 (80%) · LIL 4 of 5 (80%)83.3%
Tromsoe 2: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Lillestrom SK 2: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Tromsoe 2: only games against sides at Lillestrom SK 2's level · Lillestrom SK 2: only games against sides at Tromsoe 2's level
Tromsoe 2 or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
TRO 3 of 5 (60%) · LIL 4 of 5 (80%)75%
Tromsoe 2: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Lillestrom SK 2: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · Tromsoe 2: only games against sides at Lillestrom SK 2's level · Lillestrom SK 2: only games against sides at Tromsoe 2's level
Double Chance: Tromsoe 2 or Lillestrom SK 2IN CODES
1.18
TRO 4 of 5 (80%) · LIL 5 of 5 (100%)74.9%
Tromsoe 2: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Lillestrom SK 2: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · Tromsoe 2: only games against sides at Lillestrom SK 2's level · Lillestrom SK 2: only games against sides at Tromsoe 2's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
TRO 5 of 5 (100%) · LIL 5 of 5 (100%)93.8%
Tromsoe 2: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Lillestrom SK 2: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Tromsoe 2: only games against sides at Lillestrom SK 2's level · Lillestrom SK 2: only games against sides at Tromsoe 2's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
TRO 4 of 5 (80%) · LIL 4 of 5 (80%)78.7%
Tromsoe 2: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Lillestrom SK 2: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Tromsoe 2: only games against sides at Lillestrom SK 2's level · Lillestrom SK 2: only games against sides at Tromsoe 2's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
TRO 3 of 5 (60%) · LIL 4 of 5 (80%)54.8%
Tromsoe 2: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Lillestrom SK 2: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · Tromsoe 2: only games against sides at Lillestrom SK 2's level · Lillestrom SK 2: only games against sides at Tromsoe 2's level
TROMSOE 2 GOALS
Tromsoe 2 Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
TRO 4 of 5 (80%) · LIL 4 of 5 (80%)81.7%
Tromsoe 2 scored in 4 of 5 at home · Lillestrom SK 2 conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · Tromsoe 2: only games against sides at Lillestrom SK 2's level · Lillestrom SK 2: only games against sides at Tromsoe 2's level
Left off the list: Lillestrom SK 2 or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Tromsoe 2); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Lillestrom SK 2 or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Tromsoe 2)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 9.6%
Tromsoe 2 goals →
Lillestrom SK 2 goals ↓
0-06%
1-09%
2-08%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.7%
0-16%
1-112%
2-110%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.8%
0-24%
1-27%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.5%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.5%
5-30.2%
0-40.4%
1-40.8%
2-40.6%
3-40.4%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
TROMSOE 2DWWLLLDWWL1.40 PPG
LILLESTROM SK 2DLLLWWLLLL0.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
TROMSOE 2 HOMExLILLESTROM SK 2 AWAY
1.91SCORED A GAME3.231.91CONCEDED A GAME2.5550%BOTH SCORED80%40%CLEAN SHEETS20%1.50CORNERS A GAME5.731.25CARDS A GAME1.73
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.38POINTS A GAME0.78+0.88GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.56–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.48LEAGUE GAMES9
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
86%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
74%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
46%
NO · 85/90
TROMSOE 2 OR DRAW
70%
NO · 80/85
LILLESTROM SK 2 OR DRAW
44%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
TROMSOE 2xLILLESTROM SK 2
5GAMES52.40SCORED A GAME3.601.00CONCEDED A GAME1.803.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES5.480%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%40%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Tromsoe 2 have scored in 90% of their games.
Lillestrom SK 2 have scored in 100% of their games.
Tromsoe 2 kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Lillestrom SK 2 kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards
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