Match details. 3. Division, Group 5. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. Tromsoe 2 have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L L. Lillestrom SK 2 have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L W.
The numbers. Tromsoe 2 score 2.2 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Tromsoe 2 average 1.5 corners and 1.2 cards a game. Lillestrom SK 2 score 1.6 and concede three a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Lillestrom SK 2 average 5.7 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
The case against. Lillestrom SK 2's record still gives them 30% to win.
The read. Tromsoe 2 to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Tromsoe 2 the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Tromsoe 2. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 73%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Lillestrom SK 2 or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Tromsoe 2); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Lillestrom SK 2 or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Tromsoe 2). Predicted score: Tromsoe 2 2-1 Lillestrom SK 2 (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).