UD Poblense vs CD Castellon B
Match details. Segunda Federacion. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time.
Form. UD Poblense have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L. CD Castellon B have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L.
The numbers. UD Poblense score 0.7 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. UD Poblense average 5.5 shots (2.0 on target), 3.0 corners and 4.0 cards a game. CD Castellon B score 1.9 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. CD Castellon B average 12.9 shots (5.9 on target), 5.2 corners and 3.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 34% against the records' 56%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.
The read. No firm call: CD Castellon B are the better side, but not at this price. CD Castellon B are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Castellon B.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: UD Poblense 1-1 CD Castellon B (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).