Match details. Liga Portugal, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time. The match is at Estádio da Luz, Lisbon. Referee is Luis Miguel Branco Godinho.
What's at stake. Benfica sit 4th on 16 points after 7 games, 2 points behind Santa Clara and 2 points clear of Academico Viseu; a win would lift them above Santa Clara. Vitoria SC Guimaraes are 14th on 5 points after 7 games, 2 points behind Famalicao and 1 point clear of Nacional; a win would move them above Famalicao.
Form. Benfica have won five, drawn one and lost one of their last seven, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W W. In this competition Benfica have gone L W W W W W. Vitoria SC Guimaraes have won one, drawn two and lost four of their last seven, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L W. In this competition Vitoria SC Guimaraes have gone D L D L W L.
The numbers. Benfica score 3.1 and concede one a game over their last seven, with three clean sheets. They average 19.1 shots (7.1 on target), 7.3 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 64% of the ball. Vitoria SC Guimaraes score 0.7 and concede 1.1 a game over their last seven, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. They average 19.1 shots (4.7 on target), 5.7 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 56% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Benfica have won seven, drawn three and lost none. Eight of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Benfica won four. The last time they met, on 21 Mar 2026, it finished Benfica 3-0 Vitoria SC Guimaraes with Benfica having 12 shots to 16, 49% of the ball, one yellow card.
The read. Benfica to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Benfica the likelier winners; Benfica are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Benfica; the meetings favour Benfica. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 69% and eight of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 4.5 cards (the signs point different ways); Benfica Over 1.5 goals (Vitoria SC Guimaraes's own games don't back it (2 of 7)); Under 4.5 Goals (Benfica are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Benfica 2-1 Vitoria SC Guimaraes (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Benfica or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BEN 7 of 7 (100%) · VIT 5 of 7 (71%)92%
Benfica: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Vitoria SC Guimaraes: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · H2H 6 of 6 · Benfica: only games against sides at Vitoria SC Guimaraes's level · Vitoria SC Guimaraes: only games against sides at Benfica's level
Benfica or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.11
BEN 7 of 7 (100%) · VIT 4 of 7 (57%)87.9%
Benfica: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Vitoria SC Guimaraes: the bet landed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 6 of 6 · Benfica: only games against sides at Vitoria SC Guimaraes's level · Vitoria SC Guimaraes: only games against sides at Benfica's level
Benfica or Draw & Over 1.5PAGE ONLY
1.19
BEN 6 of 7 (86%) · VIT 3 of 7 (43%)76.8%
Benfica: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Vitoria SC Guimaraes: the bet landed in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · H2H 5 of 6 · Benfica: only games against sides at Vitoria SC Guimaraes's level · Vitoria SC Guimaraes: only games against sides at Benfica's level
Benfica to Win Either Half: YesPAGE ONLY
1.11
BEN 6 of 7 (86%) · VIT 4 of 7 (57%)74.4%
Benfica: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Vitoria SC Guimaraes: the bet landed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Benfica: only games against sides at Vitoria SC Guimaraes's level · Vitoria SC Guimaraes: only games against sides at Benfica's level
1st Half Result or Match Result: BenficaPAGE ONLY
1.11
BEN 6 of 7 (86%) · VIT 4 of 7 (57%)74.4%
Benfica: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Vitoria SC Guimaraes: the bet landed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Benfica: only games against sides at Vitoria SC Guimaraes's level · Vitoria SC Guimaraes: only games against sides at Benfica's level
Benfica to WinPAGE ONLY
1.25
BEN 5 of 7 (71%) · VIT 4 of 7 (57%)71%
Benfica won 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Vitoria SC Guimaraes lost 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · H2H 5 of 6 · Benfica: only games against sides at Vitoria SC Guimaraes's level · Vitoria SC Guimaraes: only games against sides at Benfica's level
Benfica Win & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
1.31
BEN 5 of 7 (71%) · VIT 2 of 7 (29%)65.7%
Benfica: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Vitoria SC Guimaraes: the bet landed in 2 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 50% · H2H 4 of 6 · Benfica: only games against sides at Vitoria SC Guimaraes's level · Vitoria SC Guimaraes: only games against sides at Benfica's level
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.15
BEN 7 of 7 (100%) · VIT 3 of 7 (43%)84.8%
Benfica: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Vitoria SC Guimaraes: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · H2H 5 of 6 · Benfica: only games against sides at Vitoria SC Guimaraes's level · Vitoria SC Guimaraes: only games against sides at Benfica's level
VITORIA SC GUIMARAES GOALS
Vitoria SC Guimaraes Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES
1.16
BEN 6 of 7 (86%) · VIT 5 of 7 (71%)75.4%
Vitoria SC Guimaraes scored under 1.5 in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Benfica conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 5 of 6 · Vitoria SC Guimaraes: only games against sides at Benfica's level · Benfica: only games against sides at Vitoria SC Guimaraes's level
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.16
BEN 7 of 7 (100%) · VIT 5 of 7 (71%)85.1%
Benfica: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Vitoria SC Guimaraes: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Benfica: only games against sides at Vitoria SC Guimaraes's level · Vitoria SC Guimaraes: only games against sides at Benfica's level
2nd Half - Benfica Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.26
BEN 7 of 7 (100%) · VIT 4 of 7 (57%)79.8%
Benfica: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Vitoria SC Guimaraes: the bet landed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Benfica: only games against sides at Vitoria SC Guimaraes's level · Vitoria SC Guimaraes: only games against sides at Benfica's level
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
1.75
BEN 7 of 7 (100%) · VIT 3 of 7 (43%)69%
Benfica: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Vitoria SC Guimaraes: the bet landed in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Benfica: only games against sides at Vitoria SC Guimaraes's level · Vitoria SC Guimaraes: only games against sides at Benfica's level
Left off the list: Over 4.5 cards (the numbers (48%) and the records (71%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Benfica Over 1.5 goals (Vitoria SC Guimaraes's own games don't back it (2 of 7)); Under 4.5 Goals (Benfica are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Benfica are a clear winner - no Unders)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.9%
Benfica goals →
Vitoria SC Guimaraes goals ↓
0-06%
1-010%
2-010%
3-07%
4-03%
5-01%
0-14%
1-111%
2-110%
3-17%
4-13%
5-11%
0-22%
1-25%
2-25%
3-23%
4-22%
5-20.6%
0-30.7%
1-31%
2-31%
3-31.0%
4-30.5%
5-30.2%
0-40.2%
1-40.4%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 7
BENFICADWWWWWL2.29 PPG
VITORIA SC GUIMARAESLLWLDLD0.71 PPG
THE NUMBERS
BENFICA HOMExVITORIA SC GUIMARAES AWAY
3.14SCORED A GAME0.711.00CONCEDED A GAME1.1443%CLEAN SHEETS29%0%FAILED TO SCORE43%7.29CORNERS A GAME5.712.29CARDS A GAME2.572.34xG1.610.65xG AGAINST0.84
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
BENFICA OR DRAW (1UP)
–
137 OF 146
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.29POINTS A GAME0.71+2.14GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.43+6.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+6.62.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.07LEAGUE GAMES7
Benfica: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
BENFICA 2:0 HANDICAP
–
389 OF 413
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
80%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
72%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
82%
NO · 85/90
BENFICA OR DRAW
89%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
VITORIA SC GUIMARAES OR DRAW
25%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
BENFICAxVITORIA SC GUIMARAES
5GAMES52.60SCORED A GAME0.601.00CONCEDED A GAME0.803.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.4100%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%100%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%60%BOTH SCORE40%4.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.09.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.4
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
BENFICA 7 · 70%DRAW 3VITORIA SC GUIMARAES 0 · 0%
3 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
8 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
8 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
4 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2021-10-27Benfica 3 – 3 Vitoria SC Guimaraes
2022-02-27Benfica 3 – 0 Vitoria SC Guimaraes
2022-10-01Benfica 0 – 0 Vitoria SC Guimaraes
2023-03-18Benfica 5 – 1 Vitoria SC Guimaraes
2023-09-02Benfica 4 – 0 Vitoria SC Guimaraes
2024-02-11Benfica 2 – 2 Vitoria SC Guimaraes
2024-12-07Benfica 1 – 0 Vitoria SC Guimaraes
2025-04-19Benfica 3 – 0 Vitoria SC Guimaraes
TRENDS
Benfica failed to score in 0% of their games.
Vitoria SC Guimaraes failed to score in 43% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAhead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards