Match details. Bundesliga, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 13:30 Lagos time. It is played at Profertil Arena, Hartberg. The referee is Markus Greinecker.
What's at stake. TSV Hartberg are 7th on 8 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Grazer AK, level on points with Austria Lustenau. A win would take them above Grazer AK. Austria Lustenau are 8th on 8 points after 7 games, level on points with TSV Hartberg, level on points with WSG Wattens. A win would take them above TSV Hartberg.
Team news. C. Hoffmann is their top scorer. T. Kainz is their main creator. F. Wilfinger is their centre-back. TSV Hartberg's line-up is confirmed. Austria Lustenau's line-up is confirmed.
Form. TSV Hartberg have won two, drawn two and lost three of their last seven, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W L. In this competition TSV Hartberg have gone D D W W L L. Austria Lustenau have won two, drawn two and lost three of their last seven, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D W. In this competition Austria Lustenau have gone W L L D W L.
The numbers. TSV Hartberg score 1.4 and concede 1.9 a game over their last seven, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. TSV Hartberg average 8.9 shots (3.3 on target), 3.4 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 41% of the ball. Austria Lustenau score 1.1 and concede 1.6 a game over their last seven, with one clean sheet. Austria Lustenau average 14.1 shots (4.0 on target), 5.6 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 42% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings TSV Hartberg have won four, drawn three and lost three. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, TSV Hartberg won two, one was drawn and Austria Lustenau won one. The last time they met, on 29 Oct 2024, it finished TSV Hartberg 3-0 Austria Lustenau.
The case against. Austria Lustenau's record still gives them 35% to win.
The read. TSV Hartberg or the draw. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: TSV Hartberg 2-1 Austria Lustenau (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).