BIBES

17:00Sun 11 Oct

KOC

KOC

Besiktas Istanbul vs Kocaelispor

CLASS A

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THE READ

Match details. Super Lig, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. The game is at Tüpraş Stadyumu, İstanbul. Referee A. B. Taskinsoy.

What's at stake. Besiktas Istanbul sit fifth on 12 points after six games, one point behind Trabzonspor and level with Kocaelispor. A win lifts them above Trabzonspor. Kocaelispor are sixth on 12 points, level with Besiktas and Alanyaspor. A win puts them ahead of Besiktas.

Team news. Besiktas miss M. Rashica (injury) and O. Kokcu (toe injury). A. Nübel is in goal, D. Vlahović scores, O. Kökçü creates, E. Agbadou and A. Murillo defend; line-up set. Kocaelispor miss M. Baku (inactive), A. Dijksteel, M. Haidara (muscle), B. Petkovic (hamstring), T. Zoukrou (muscle) and T. Gulliksen (hamstring). S. Öztaşdelen starts, B. Kutlu scores, Gonçalo Santos Sousa creates, Dijksteel and Haïdara at centre-back; line-up set.

Form. Besiktas have seven wins, no draws and three losses in their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five: L W W W W. Kocaelispor have four wins, one draw and five defeats in ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five: W L W W W.

The numbers. At home Besiktas score three and concede 0.5 per game in six matches, keeping four clean sheets. They average 17.0 shots (6.5 on target), 7.5 corners, 2.0 cards and 63% possession. Away Kocaelispor score 0.5 and let in 1.2 per game in six outings, no clean sheets and four goalless games. They average 8.1 shots (2.9 on target), 3.1 corners, 1.8 cards and 47% possession.

Head to head. In the last three meetings Besiktas have two wins and a draw, no defeats. One game went over 2.5 goals and both sides scored in two matches. The most recent clash on 28 Feb 2026 ended 1-0 to Besiktas, with 11 shots to 10, 49% possession and three yellows.

Where it pulls both ways. Goals for and against suggest an open game; their records give over 2.5 goals a 40% chance. Two of the last three meetings finished under 2.5.

The case against. Besiktas are without A. Nübel, D. Vlahović, O. Kökçü, E. Agbadou and A. Murillo. Kocaelispor's win probability sits at 25%. Their goal stats still point to a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals, yet two of the last three meetings were under that mark.

The read. Besiktas Istanbul or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Besiktas the likelier winners; Besiktas are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Besiktas. Their goals for and against point to an open game.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Besiktas Istanbul are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Besiktas Istanbul are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Besiktas Istanbul 2-1 Kocaelispor (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Besiktas Istanbul or Over 1.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BES 5 of 6 (83%) · KOC 6 of 6 (100%)94.6%

Besiktas Istanbul: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Kocaelispor: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 87% · H2H 3 of 3 · Besiktas Istanbul: only games against sides at Kocaelispor's level · Kocaelispor: only games against sides at Besiktas Istanbul's level · the call is Besiktas Istanbul or the draw: Besiktas Istanbul without A. Nübel (keeper), D. Vlahović (striker), O. Ko

Besiktas Istanbul to Win Either Half: YesTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

1.10

BES 5 of 6 (83%) · KOC 5 of 6 (83%)82.4%

Besiktas Istanbul: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Kocaelispor: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 72% · H2H 3 of 3 · on half-time scores · Besiktas Istanbul: only games against sides at Kocaelispor's level · Kocaelispor: only games against sides at Besiktas Istanbul's level · the call is Besiktas Istanbul or the draw: Besiktas Istanbul without A. Nübel (keeper), D. Vla

Besiktas Istanbul or Over 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

1.11

BES 5 of 6 (83%) · KOC 5 of 6 (83%)79.7%

Besiktas Istanbul: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Kocaelispor: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 72% · H2H 2 of 3 · Besiktas Istanbul: only games against sides at Kocaelispor's level · Kocaelispor: only games against sides at Besiktas Istanbul's level · the call is Besiktas Istanbul or the draw: Besiktas Istanbul without A. Nübel (keeper), D. Vlahović (striker), O. Ko

Besiktas Istanbul 1UPTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

1.12

BES 3 of 5 (60%) · KOC 4 of 6 (67%)75.6%

Besiktas Istanbul scored first 2 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Kocaelispor trailed in 6 of 6 away · Besiktas Istanbul: only games against sides at Kocaelispor's level · Kocaelispor: only games against sides at Besiktas Istanbul's level · the call is Besiktas Istanbul or the draw: Besiktas Istanbul without A. Nübel (keeper), D. Vlahović (striker), O. Kökçü (creator),

1st Half Result or Match Result: Besiktas IstanbulTAKEN DOWNHELD · the odds board 92%

1.09

BES 4 of 6 (67%) · KOC 5 of 6 (83%)70.5%

Besiktas Istanbul: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Kocaelispor: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 63% · H2H 2 of 3 · on half-time scores · Besiktas Istanbul: only games against sides at Kocaelispor's level · Kocaelispor: only games against sides at Besiktas Istanbul's level · the call is Besiktas Istanbul or the draw: Besiktas Istanbul without A. Nübel (keeper), D. Vla

Besiktas Istanbul to WinTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

1.26

BES 4 of 6 (67%) · KOC 4 of 6 (67%)69.3%

Besiktas Istanbul won 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Kocaelispor lost 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 58% · H2H 2 of 3 · Besiktas Istanbul: only games against sides at Kocaelispor's level · Kocaelispor: only games against sides at Besiktas Istanbul's level · the call is Besiktas Istanbul or the draw: Besiktas Istanbul without A. Nübel (keeper), D. Vlahović (striker), O. Kökçü (creator), E. Agbadou (

1X2 - 2UP: Besiktas IstanbulTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

1.19

BES 3 of 5 (60%) · KOC 4 of 6 (67%)64.4%

Besiktas Istanbul scored first 2 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 3 · led by 2 or won in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Kocaelispor trailed by 2 or lost in 4 of 6 away · Besiktas Istanbul: only games against sides at Kocaelispor's level · Kocaelispor: only games against sides at Besiktas Istanbul's level · the call is Besiktas Istanbul or the draw: Besiktas Istanbul without A. Nübel (keeper), D. Vlah

BESIKTAS ISTANBUL GOALS

Besiktas Istanbul Over 0.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BES 5 of 6 (83%) · KOC 6 of 6 (100%)90.8%

Besiktas Istanbul scored in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Kocaelispor conceded in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 77% · H2H 3 of 3 · Besiktas Istanbul: only games against sides at Kocaelispor's level · Kocaelispor: only games against sides at Besiktas Istanbul's level · Besiktas Istanbul without A. Nübel, D. Vlahović, O. Kökçü, E. Agbadou, A. Murillo (rule 3)

KOCAELISPOR GOALS

Kocaelispor Under 1.5 goalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

1.15

BES 5 of 6 (83%) · KOC 4 of 6 (67%)73.6%

Kocaelispor scored under 1.5 in 5 of 6 away · Besiktas Istanbul conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · H2H 3 of 3 · Kocaelispor: only games against sides at Besiktas Istanbul's level · Besiktas Istanbul: only games against sides at Kocaelispor's level · Besiktas Istanbul without their first-choice keeper (rule 3)

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.15

BES 5 of 6 (83%) · KOC 4 of 6 (67%)79%

Besiktas Istanbul: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Kocaelispor: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 77% · H2H 3 of 3 · on half-time scores · Besiktas Istanbul: only games against sides at Kocaelispor's level · Kocaelispor: only games against sides at Besiktas Istanbul's level

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.25

BES 5 of 6 (83%) · KOC 4 of 6 (67%)72.9%

Besiktas Istanbul: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Kocaelispor: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 72% · H2H 2 of 3 · on half-time scores · Besiktas Istanbul: only games against sides at Kocaelispor's level · Kocaelispor: only games against sides at Besiktas Istanbul's level

CORNERS

Over 8.5 CornersIN CODES

1.52

BES 6 of 6 (100%) · KOC 3 of 6 (50%)73.3%

Besiktas Istanbul's games: over 8.5 corners in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Kocaelispor's games: over 8.5 corners in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 70% · Besiktas Istanbul: only games against sides at Kocaelispor's level · Kocaelispor: only games against sides at Besiktas Istanbul's level

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (Besiktas Istanbul are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Besiktas Istanbul are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.9%

Besiktas Istanbul goals →

Kocaelispor goals ↓

0-07%

1-011%

2-011%

3-07%

4-03%

5-01%

0-15%

1-111%

2-110%

3-16%

4-13%

5-11%

0-22%

1-25%

2-24%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.5%

0-30.7%

1-31%

2-31%

3-30.8%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.2%

1-40.3%

2-40.3%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

BESIKTAS ISTANBULWWWLLWWWWL2.10 PPG

KOCAELISPORLDLLLWWWLW1.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

BESIKTAS ISTANBUL HOMExKOCAELISPOR AWAY

2.20SCORED A GAME0.800.90CONCEDED A GAME0.8040%CLEAN SHEETS30%17%FAILED TO SCORE33%7.50CORNERS A GAME3.102.00CARDS A GAME1.801.84xG1.030.66xG AGAINST1.41

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

BESIKTAS ISTANBUL TO SCORE

–

136 OF 144

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner in a league averaging 2.9+ goals a game.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

2.00POINTS A GAME2.00+1.17GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.50+4.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.81.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.46LEAGUE GAMES6

Besiktas Istanbul: the quality side - more shots than it allows.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

64%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

38%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

88%

OKAY · 85/90

BESIKTAS ISTANBUL OR DRAW

82%

OKAY · 80/85

KOCAELISPOR OR DRAW

24%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

BESIKTAS ISTANBULxKOCAELISPOR

5GAMES52.60SCORED A GAME1.401.40CONCEDED A GAME0.404.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.880%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%60%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 3

BESIKTAS ISTANBUL 2 · 67%DRAW 1KOCAELISPOR 0 · 0%

2 of 3BOTH TEAMS SCORED

2 of 3OVER 1.5 GOALS

1 of 3OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 3OVER 3.5 GOALS

2025-09-29Besiktas Istanbul 3 – 1 Kocaelispor

2026-02-05Besiktas Istanbul 1 – 1 Kocaelispor

2026-02-28Besiktas Istanbul 1 – 0 Kocaelispor

TEAM NEWS

BESIKTAS ISTANBUL

Out: M. Rashica (Injury), O. Kokcu (Toe Injury), M. Rashica (Injury), O. Kokcu (Toe Injury)

KOCAELISPOR

Out: M. Baku (Inactive), A. Dijksteel (Muscle Injury), M. Haidara (Muscle Injury), B. Petkovic (Hamstring Injury), T. Zoukrou (Muscle Injury), T. Gulliksen (Hamstring Injury)

TRENDS

Besiktas Istanbul have scored in 80% of their games.

Kocaelispor have scored in 50% of their games.

Besiktas Istanbul kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Kocaelispor kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards