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MEXICO - LIGA MX
Club Tijuana de Caliente crestCTCT
04:00Sat 17 Oct
CPClub Puebla crestCP

Club Tijuana de Caliente vs Club Puebla

CLASS D
THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
78
TOTAL GOALS
Class D
Club Tijuana de Caliente crestCTvClub Puebla crestCP
Under 3.5 Goals
Club Tijuana de Caliente v Club Puebla
Mexico - Liga MX · 04:00
1.41odds
71%book
+7edge
1/1angles
THE READ

Match details. Liga MX, Apertura - 12. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 04:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Caliente , Tijuana. The referee is Daniel Quintero Huitron.

What's at stake. Club Tijuana de Caliente are 8th on 15 points after 10 games, 2 points behind Cruz Azul, level on points with Puebla. A win would take them above Cruz Azul. Club Puebla are 9th on 15 points after 11 games, level on points with Club Tijuana, 1 point clear of Monterrey. A win would take them above Club Tijuana.

Team news. Club Tijuana de Caliente's line-up is confirmed. E. Mustre is their top scorer. Club Puebla's line-up is confirmed.

Form. Club Tijuana de Caliente have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L W. In this competition Club Tijuana de Caliente have gone D L D L W L. Club Puebla have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L W. In this competition Club Puebla have gone D L D L W L.

The numbers. Club Tijuana de Caliente score 1.7 and concede one a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Club Tijuana de Caliente average 12.5 shots (3.8 on target), 4.6 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 44% of the ball. Club Puebla score one and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Club Puebla average 14.6 shots (4.4 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Club Tijuana de Caliente have won two, drawn three and lost five. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Club Tijuana de Caliente won one, one was drawn and Club Puebla won two. The last time they met, on 7 Feb 2026, it finished Club Tijuana de Caliente 0-0 Club Puebla: Club Tijuana de Caliente had 11 shots to 13, 56% of the ball, three yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. Club Tijuana de Caliente are the form side, but the meetings favour Club Puebla: in the last ten meetings, Club Tijuana de Caliente won two, Club Puebla won five and three were drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%; seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%.

The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.41, 70% on the records (Club Tijuana de Caliente: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home; Club Puebla: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.15. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Club Tijuana de Caliente or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Club Puebla or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: Club Tijuana de Caliente 1-1 Club Puebla (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsBACKUPIN CODES
1.15
CT 5 of 6 (83%) · CP 4 of 5 (80%)89.1%
Club Tijuana de Caliente: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · Club Puebla: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 5 of 6 · Club Tijuana de Caliente: only games against sides at Club Puebla's level · Club Puebla: only games against sides at Club Tijuana de Caliente's level
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.41
CT 4 of 6 (67%) · CP 4 of 5 (80%)77.9%
Club Tijuana de Caliente: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home · Club Puebla: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 4 of 6 · Club Tijuana de Caliente: only games against sides at Club Puebla's level · Club Puebla: only games against sides at Club Tijuana de Caliente's level
CLUB TIJUANA DE CALIENTE GOALS
Club Tijuana de Caliente Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.17
CT 5 of 6 (83%) · CP 4 of 5 (80%)80.8%
Club Tijuana de Caliente scored in 5 of 6 at home · Club Puebla conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 3 of 6 · Club Tijuana de Caliente: only games against sides at Club Puebla's level · Club Puebla: only games against sides at Club Tijuana de Caliente's level
CLUB PUEBLA GOALS
Club Puebla Over 0.5 goalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.41
CT 3 of 5 (60%) · CP 4 of 6 (67%)53.3%
Club Puebla scored in 3 of 5 away · Club Tijuana de Caliente conceded in 4 of 6 at home · both last 10: 70% · H2H 5 of 6 · Club Puebla: only games against sides at Club Tijuana de Caliente's level · Club Tijuana de Caliente: only games against sides at Club Puebla's level · Club Puebla without E. Mustre (rule 3)
Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Club Tijuana de Caliente or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Club Puebla or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 11.8%
Club Tijuana de… goals →
Club Puebla goals ↓
0-07%
1-011%
2-010%
3-06%
4-03%
5-00.9%
0-16%
1-112%
2-110%
3-16%
4-13%
5-10.9%
0-23%
1-25%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.3%
1-40.4%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
CLUB TIJUANA DE CALIENTEWWDWLWLDLD1.50 PPG
CLUB PUEBLALDWWLWLDLD1.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CLUB TIJUANA DE CALIENTE HOMExCLUB PUEBLA AWAY
1.50SCORED A GAME1.101.40CONCEDED A GAME1.3030%CLEAN SHEETS10%20%FAILED TO SCORE27%4.62CORNERS A GAME5.001.88CARDS A GAME1.001.58xG0.930.87xG AGAINST1.35
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.33POINTS A GAME1.36-0.11GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.09-4.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.81.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.09LEAGUE GAMES11
Club Puebla: the quality side - more shots than it allows.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
57%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
30%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
81%
NO · 85/90
CLUB TIJUANA DE CALIENTE OR DRAW
53%
NO · 80/85
CLUB PUEBLA OR DRAW
42%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CLUB TIJUANA DE CALIENTExCLUB PUEBLA
5GAMES61.40SCORED A GAME1.001.00CONCEDED A GAME1.172.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.260%OVER 1.5 GOALS50%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS33%40%BOTH SCORE33%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
CLUB TIJUANA DE CALIENTE 2 · 20%DRAW 3CLUB PUEBLA 5 · 50%
7 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
9 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
7 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
5 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2021-08-18Club Tijuana de Caliente 1 – 1 Club Puebla
2022-01-29Club Tijuana de Caliente 1 – 3 Club Puebla
2022-08-13Club Tijuana de Caliente 3 – 3 Club Puebla
2023-04-29Club Tijuana de Caliente 2 – 5 Club Puebla
2023-09-02Club Tijuana de Caliente 0 – 3 Club Puebla
2024-04-20Club Tijuana de Caliente 3 – 1 Club Puebla
2024-11-11Club Tijuana de Caliente 2 – 1 Club Puebla
2025-02-22Club Tijuana de Caliente 0 – 2 Club Puebla
TRENDS
Club Tijuana de Caliente failed to score in 20% of their games.
Club Puebla failed to score in 27% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAhead to headleague tablecornerscards
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