Match details. 1. Lig, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Thu 15 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time. It is played at Mugla Ataturk Stadyumu.
What's at stake. Muglaspor are 11th on 12 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Fatih Karagümrük, 1 point clear of Sivasspor. A win would take them above Fatih Karagümrük. Bursaspor are 2nd on 19 points after 9 games, 3 points behind Kayserispor, level on points with Iğdır FK. A win would take them level on points with Kayserispor.
Form. Muglaspor have won two, drawn seven and lost one of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D D W. Bursaspor have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W W.
The numbers. Muglaspor score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Muglaspor average 10.1 shots (3.8 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. Bursaspor score 2.3 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. Bursaspor average 12.4 shots (4.7 on target), 6.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 60% of the ball.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 24 Sep 2019, it finished Muglaspor 1-3 Bursaspor.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.33, 74% on the records (Muglaspor: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 9; Bursaspor: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: Bursaspor Over 0.5 Goals at 1.17. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Bursaspor or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Bursaspor 1UP (no result call); Bursaspor or draw and under 3.5 goals (no result call). Predicted score: Muglaspor 1-1 Bursaspor (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).