Millwall FC vs Swansea City
Match details. Championship. Kick-off is Tue 13 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time.
Form. Millwall FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L W. Swansea City have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D W.
The numbers. Millwall FC score 1.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Millwall FC average 4.4 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Swansea City score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. Swansea City average 4.2 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Millwall FC the likelier winners, but Swansea City are the stronger side on form and the table.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 82%.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.37, 72% on the records (Millwall FC: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 6; Swansea City: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Millwall FC 1-1 Swansea City (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).